SUERF Policy Notes and Briefs

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Date	Title	Author(s)
18 Jun, 2026	Measuring inflation at a social subsistence level Policy Brief 1484	Gerard Eijsink \| De Nederlandsche Bank Beer Pruijt \| De Nederlandsche Bank
18 Jun, 2026	Monetary policy and housing overvaluation Policy Brief 1483	Nina Biljanovska \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Eduardo Espuny Diaz \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Amir Kermani \| UC Berkeley Rui C. Mano \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
18 Jun, 2026	Excess cost-push inflation in the euro area: Does weak competition matter? Policy Brief 1482	Dimitris Sideris \| Bank of Greece Georgia Kaplanoglou \| National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Georgia Pavlou \| Bank of Greece
18 Jun, 2026	Bank resilience is not system resilience: Market plumbing and macro-financial blind spots in emerging markets Policy Brief 1481	Gustavo Pessoa \| Fundacao Getulio Vargas
18 Jun, 2026	FinTech and bank credit risk: Does financial structure matter? Policy Brief 1480	Kefei You \| University of Greenwich Barbara Koranteng \| University of Greenwich Jan Klacso \| National Bank of Slovakia
18 Jun, 2026	More harm than good: Economic and welfare effects of punitive tariffs Policy Brief 1479	Anne Ernst \| Deutsche Bundesbank Natascha Hinterlang \| Deutsche Bundesbank Marius Jaeger \| Deutsche Bundesbank Nikolai Staehler \| Deutsche Bundesbank
11 Jun, 2026	SEPA’s silent success: Integration without recognition? Policy Brief 1478	Elisabeth Beckmann \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Justus Meyer \| European Central Bank (ECB)
11 Jun, 2026	Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge Policy Brief 1477	Erwan Gautier \| Banque de France Cristina Conflitti \| Bank of Italy Daniel Enderle \| Vienna University of Economics and Business Ludmila Fadejeva \| Bank of Latvia Alex Grimaud \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Eduardo Gutierrez \| Banco de España Valentin Jouvanceau \| Bank of Lithuania Jan-Oliver Menz \| Deutsche Bundesbank Alari Paulus \| Bank of Estonia Pavlos Petroulas \| Bank of Greece Pau Roldan-Blanco \| Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB) Elisabeth Wieland \| European Central Bank (ECB)
11 Jun, 2026	Immigration and trade creation: Evidence from trade margins Policy Brief 1476	Ana Abeliansky \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso \| Universitat Jaume I Anna Katharina Raggl \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
11 Jun, 2026	Nudging without forcing: Do soft, non-binding, loan-to-value limits work? Evidence from Belgium Policy Brief 1475	Helene Bruffaerts \| Ghent University Rudi Vander Vennet \| Ghent University
11 Jun, 2026	Can central banks influence the neutral rate? Policy Brief 1474	Danilo Leiva-Leon \| Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Rodrigo Sekkel \| Bank of Canada Luis Uzeda \| Bank of Canada
11 Jun, 2026	Central bank communication on financial stability – a shadowed sibling? Policy Brief 1473	Reiner Martin \| National Bank of Slovakia Piroska Nagy Mohacsi \| London School of Economics Jan Klacso \| National Bank of Slovakia
11 Jun, 2026	Identification of expectational shocks in the oil market using OPEC announcements Policy Brief 1472	Riccardo Degasperi \| Bank of Italy
11 Jun, 2026	Prudential regulation, stabilization and bank competition: Short and long run evidence from Asia Policy Brief 1471	Alessandra Ferrari \| Loughborough University Oleg Badunenko \| Brunel Business School
3 Jun, 2026	Can GenAI fill the gaps in banks’ carbon emissions? Policy Brief 1470	Cristina Angelico \| Bank of Italy Enrico Bernardini \| Bank of Italy
3 Jun, 2026	The labour market in the euro area: and yet, it moves! Policy Brief 1469	Agostino Consolo \| European Central Bank (ECB) Claudia Foroni \| European Central Bank (ECB) Linnéa Hjelm \| Swedish Ministry of Finance
3 Jun, 2026	Europe’s Middle East dependencies: Price surges precede supply chain vulnerabilities Policy Brief 1468	Sylvain Broyer \| S&P Global Ratings Aude Guez \| S&P Global Ratings
3 Jun, 2026	Housing wealth and monetary policy transmission: Cross-country evidence Policy Brief 1467	Paola Di Casola \| European Central Bank (ECB) Magdalena Grothe \| European Central Bank (ECB)
3 Jun, 2026	Macroprudential measures in response to firm risk and bank fragility Policy Brief 1466	Tommaso Gasparini \| Banque de France Vivien Lewis \| Deutsche Bundesbank Stephane Moyen \| Deutsche Bundesbank Stefania Villa \| Bank of Italy
3 Jun, 2026	The awakening of inflation and the return of the Phillips curve in the euro area Policy Brief 1465	Stefano Neri \| Bank of Italy Cristina Conflitti \| Bank of Italy Alessandro Lin \| Bank of Italy
3 Jun, 2026	When rates rise fast, borrowing falls unevenly: Why floating rate corporate loans matter for monetary transmission Policy Brief 1464	Eeva Kerola \| Bank of Finland Olli-Matti Laine \| Bank of Finland Aleksi Paavola \| Bank of Finland
28 May, 2026	Global trade linkages and the cross-country distribution of the gains from AI Policy Brief 1463	Francesco Filippucci \| OECD Peter Gal \| OECD Katharina Laengle \| OECD Matthias Schief \| OECD Muhammed Yildirim \| Harvard Kennedy School
28 May, 2026	When tightening triggers withdrawals: Fund fragility and monetary policy transmission Policy Brief 1462	Falko Fecht \| Deutsche Bundesbank Moritz Kellers \| Deutsche Bundesbank
28 May, 2026	Tracing economic shocks through history Policy Brief 1461	Philippe Goulet Coulombe \| Université du Québec à Montréal Karin Klieber \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
28 May, 2026	Pricing cyber risks in credit markets Policy Brief 1460	Bok Min Choi \| KU Leuven Hans Degryse \| KU Leuven Kristien Smedts \| KU Leuven
28 May, 2026	Why markets shrug and firms hesitate: Pricing geopolitical risk in the age of policy Policy Brief 1459	Debora Revoltella \| European Investment Bank (EIB) Huyen Tran \| European Investment Bank (EIB) Ricardo Santos \| European Investment Bank (EIB) Koray Alper \| European Investment Bank (EIB)
28 May, 2026	Mortgage borrowers cushion the effect of higher rates on monthly payments Policy Brief 1458	Andreas Fuster \| Swiss Finance Institute (SFI) Virginia Gianinazzi \| Nova School of Business and Economics Andreas Hackethal \| Goethe University Frankfurt Philip Schnorpfeil \| Goethe University Frankfurt Michael Weber \| Purdue University
28 May, 2026	When does monetary tightening raise financial stress? The role of supply- versus demand-driven inflation Policy Brief 1457	Frédéric Boissay \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Fabrice Collard \| Toulouse School of Economics (CNRS) Cristina Manea \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Adam Shapiro \| Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
28 May, 2026	Synchronous but dissimilar: Heterogeneity in the bank lending channel across the euro area Policy Brief 1456	Robert Ferstl \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Bernhard Graf \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
21 May, 2026	Macroeconomic impacts of EU defense spending Policy Brief 1455	Davide Furceri \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Pedro Juarros \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Saurabh Mishra \| Taiyo.AI Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Ana Sofia Pessoa \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Alexandre Balduino Sollaci \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
21 May, 2026	Generative artificial intelligence in central banking Policy Brief 1454	Douglas Araujo \| Central Bank of Brazil Giuseppe Bruno \| Bank of Italy Adam Cap \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Juri Marcucci \| Bank of Italy Rafael Schmidt \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Olivier Sirello \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Bruno Tissot \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
21 May, 2026	Issuance yield of MREL-eligible bank debt: A benchmarking model Policy Brief 1453	Francisco Gonzalez Rodriguez \| Universidad de Oviedo Alberto Orts Torres \| International Association of Deposit Insurers Jose Maria Serena \| Banco de España Miquel Tari Sanchez \| Banco de España
21 May, 2026	Measuring economic outlook in the news Policy Brief 1452	Elliot Beck \| Swiss National Bank Franziska Eckert \| Swiss National Bank Linus Kuehne \| ETH Zurich Helge Liebert \| Swiss National Bank Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch \| Swiss National Bank
21 May, 2026	High-definition finance: Household financial assets viewed through a new data lens Policy Brief 1451	Simone Arrigoni \| Banque de France Agustin Benetrix \| Trinity College Dublin Tara McIndoe-Calder \| Trinity College Dublin Davide Romelli \| Trinity College Dublin
21 May, 2026	Reading between the lines: Measuring financial constraints from firm disclosures Policy Brief 1450	Rachel Cho \| University of Sheffield Christoph Goertz \| University of Augsburg Danny McGowan \| Durham University Max Schroeder \| Durham University
21 May, 2026	Lending operations are back: Lessons from German banks before the GFC Policy Brief 1449	Daniel Fricke \| Deutsche Bundesbank Franziska Schobert \| Deutsche Bundesbank
13 May, 2026	Robustness Policy Note 408	Huw Pill \| Bank of England
13 May, 2026	Stablecoins: Policy, sovereignty and backstops Policy Brief 1448	Jón Danielsson \| London School of Economics Robert Macrae \| London School of Economics
13 May, 2026	What Iran means for the dollar: a perfect storm for the petrodollar Policy Brief 1447	Mallika Sachdeva \| Deutsche Bank
13 May, 2026	New evidence on business investment and capital reallocation Policy Brief 1446	Marta Crispino \| Bank of Italy Michele Loberto \| Bank of Italy Carlo Pavanello \| Universitat Pompeu Fabra Enrico Sette \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 May, 2026	Wiring trade through connecting payment systems Policy Brief 1445	Massimo Ferrari Minesso \| European Central Bank (ECB) Laura Lebastard \| European Central Bank (ECB) Olga Triay Bagur \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 May, 2026	Real-time fiscal monitoring with Bayesian VARs Policy Brief 1444	Jacopo Cimadomo \| European Central Bank (ECB) Domenico Giannone \| Johns Hopkins University Michele Lenza \| European Central Bank (ECB) Francesca Monti \| Université Catholique de Louvain Andrej Sokol \| Bloomberg
13 May, 2026	Extreme weather and financial stability: Using loan-to-value ratios for vulnerabilities monitoring Policy Brief 1443	David-Jan Jansen \| De Nederlandsche Bank Rick Mulder \| De Nederlandsche Bank
13 May, 2026	When global tightening hits stretched markets: Implications for EMDE sovereign risk Policy Brief 1442	Lorenzo Menna \| Banco de México Rubens Moura \| Banco de México Martin Tobal \| Banco de México
7 May, 2026	AI and the euro area economy Policy Note 407	Philip R. Lane \| European Central Bank (ECB)
7 May, 2026	Oil on the water: When shipping turns oil shocks into inflation shocks Policy Brief 1441	Christina Anderl \| Bank of England Alessandro Nava \| University of Padova
7 May, 2026	The geopolitics of stablecoins Policy Brief 1440	Jón Danielsson \| London School of Economics Robert Macrae \| London School of Economics
7 May, 2026	Money demand by non-financial corporations Policy Brief 1439	Luca Nocciola \| European Central Bank (ECB)
7 May, 2026	Digital twins or digital echoes? Evaluating generative AI in payment surveys Policy Brief 1438	Koji Takahashi \| Seikei University Joon Suk Park \| Bank of Korea
7 May, 2026	Corporate debt in euro area countries: Different structures, different interest rate sensitivities Policy Brief 1437	Maxime Gueuder \| Banque de France Sébastien Ray \| Banque de France

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SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs