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The effectiveness of monetary policy in a low interest rate environment

Banca d’Italia and SUERF Workshop

The effectiveness of monetary policy in a low interest rate environment

Monetary policies worldwide are currently facing a number of challenges, including how to deal with the low level of nominal and real interest rates, how to deal with a persistent undershooting of inflation targets, how to align inflation expectations with the inflation target, how to deal with a changing inflation formation process, and how to gauge changes in the transmission of monetary policy impulses to the economy and inflation. Where actually is the effective lower bound of interest rates? How to incorporate unconventional policy tools such as outright asset purchases and forward guidance in the measurement of the policy stance and in the assessment of remaining policy scope? What do equilibrium and policy rates close to the effective lower bound imply for optimal monetary policy strategies, including the definition of price stability or the inflation aim? How has the post-crisis monetary policy toolbox performed; how should it develop further in the future? These and other topics are currently also reflected upon in global central banks’ ongoing monetary policy strategy reviews. The workshop will address several of these issues, combining insights from cutting edge academic research and policy makers’ practical experiences.

Scientific committee:
Jakob De Haan, DNB and SUERF President
Ernest Gnan, OeNB and SUERF Secretary General
Giuseppe Grande, Banca d"Italia
Mario Pietrunti, Banca d"Italia
Stefano Siviero, Banca d"Italia
Frank Smets, ECB and SUERF Fellow

Format: Online Workshop

Date and Time
 
Wednesday, 18 November 2020 - 14:00-16:20 CET
Thursday, 19 November 2020 - 14:00-16:35 CET

Programme

Wednesday, 18 November 2020
14:00 Welcome address

Daniele Franco, Senior Deputy Governor, Banca d’Italia

 
14:20 Keynote speech by Jordi Galí, CREI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE
15:05 Session 1 - Strategy

Paper 1 - Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target
Leonardo Melosi, EUI, Chicago Fed, CEPR, (paper with Francesco Bianchi and Mathias Rottner)

Discussant:  tbc


Paper 2 - Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Sebastian Schmidt, ECB , (paper with Taisuke Nakata)

Discussant:  tbc

 
16:05 Q&A
16:15 Wrap up of the Day 1 and Close
Thursday, 19 November 2020
14:00 Welcome
14:05 Session 2: Structural Change/Transmission

Paper 3 - Corporate Leverage and Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Euro Area
Martina Cecioni, Banca d’Italia, (paper with Simone Auer and Marco Bernardini)

Discussant:  tbc


Paper 4 - Bank intermediation activity in a low interest rate environment
Leonardo Gambacorta, BIS, (paper with Michael Brei and Claudio Borio)

Discussant:  tbc

 
14:55 Q&A
15:15 Braek
15:20 Session 3: Tools/Instruments

Paper 5 - Monetary policy options in a ‘low for long’ era
Richard Harrison, Bank of England, (paper with Martin Seneca and Matt Waldron)

Discussant:  tbc


Paper 6 - On the negatives of negative interest rates and the positives of exemption thresholds
Romina Ruprecht, University of Basel, (paper with Aleksander Berentsen)

Discussant:  tbc

 
16:20 Q&A
16:30 Wrap up of the Day 2 and Close

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