SUERF Policy Notes and Briefs

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Date	Title	Author(s)
3 Sep, 2026	Capital cliffs in EU securitisation rules: Designing prudential safeguards without procyclical tripwires Policy Note 418	Michael Bennett \| Arch Insurance (EU) dac Georges Duponcheele \| GLISE Tamar Joulia-Paris \| IACPM Veronique Ormezzano \| VYGE Consulting William Perraudin \| Risk Control
3 Sep, 2026	An analysis of euro area dealer banks’ sovereign bond holdings Policy Note 417	Maurizio Marinaro \| European Central Bank (ECB) Natalia Podlich \| European Central Bank (ECB) Martin Saldias \| Banco de Portugal Martin Scheicher \| European Central Bank (ECB)
3 Sep, 2026	How is climate change adaptation integrated into the EU prudential framework? Policy Brief 1559	Stephane Dees \| Banque de France Maria Nieto \| London School of Economics (LSE) Chryssa Papathanassiou \| International Hellenic University
3 Sep, 2026	Financial and real effects of fiscal risk Policy Brief 1558	Denis Gorea \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Ding Xuan Ng \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Fabrizio Zampolli \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
3 Sep, 2026	Diverging wage dynamics in Slovakia: Public sector growth amid private stagnation Policy Brief 1557	Andre Casalis \| National Bank of Slovakia Michal Doliak \| National Bank of Slovakia Viera Mrazikova \| National Bank of Slovakia
3 Sep, 2026	More than words: How Europe’s central banks communicate in uncertain times Policy Brief 1556	Francesca Caselli \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Luisa Charry \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Larry Cui \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Pragyan Deb \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Allan Dizioli \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Alexandra Fotiou \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Ben Park \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Sebastian Weber \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
3 Sep, 2026	When invoices go digital: How eInvoicing reshapes credit markets Policy Brief 1555	Alejandro Casado \| Banco de España Marco Giometti \| Universidad Carlos III de Madrid José E. Gutiérrez \| Banco de España David Martínez-Miera \| Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Alexandra Matyunina \| Banco de España Tammaro Terracciano \| IESE Business School
27 Aug, 2026	Chips & tokens at the fault lines: Two stacks in one fragmenting world Policy Note 416	Fabio Natalucci \| Andersen Institute Alessandro Rebucci \| Andersen Institute
27 Aug, 2026	When did the balance sheet become a monetary policy tool? Evidence from the Bank of Italy across the 20th century Policy Brief 1554	Massimiliano Affinito \| Bank of Italy
27 Aug, 2026	Why do FOMC minutes move markets three weeks after the policy decision? Policy Brief 1553	Niklas Humann \| University of Münster Dimitrios Kanelis \| Deutsche Bundesbank Lars H. Kranzmann \| University of Münster Pierre L. Siklos \| Wilfrid Laurier University
27 Aug, 2026	Defence spending – no free lunch Policy Brief 1552	Ben Conigrave \| OECD Young-Hyun Shin \| OECD
27 Aug, 2026	Elections, uncertainty, and the ebb and flow of global capital Policy Brief 1551	Maria Arakelyan \| Joint Vienna Institute (JVI) Tatiana Evdokimova \| Joint Vienna Institute (JVI)
27 Aug, 2026	Italian households’ investments in sovereign securities in the post-pandemic period Policy Brief 1550	Andrea Colabella \| Bank of Italy Angelo Nunnari \| Bank of Italy Silvia Spadafora \| Bank of Italy
27 Aug, 2026	From cheap debt to hard choices Policy Brief 1549	Jens Eisenschmidt \| Morgan Stanley Skander Garchi Casal \| Morgan Stanley Jean-Francois Ouvrard \| Morgan Stanley
20 Aug, 2026	Tracking flights to safety and safe assets on the FLY Policy Brief 1548	Andrea Foschi \| Bank of Italy
20 Aug, 2026	The constraint that became a corridor: Hong Kong's irreplaceable position in the next era of stablecoin finance Policy Brief 1547	Emma Mau \| Independent Researcher
20 Aug, 2026	The heterogeneous bank lending channel of monetary policy Policy Brief 1546	Jorge Abad \| European Central Bank (ECB) Saki Bigio \| University of California Salomon Garcia-Villegas \| CUNEF Universidad Joel Marbet \| Banco de España Galo Nuno \| Banco de España
20 Aug, 2026	The missing pass-through to bank deposit rates: The role of deposit funding and market power Policy Brief 1545	Simone Auer \| Bank of Italy Antonio M. Conti \| Bank of Italy Paolo Farroni \| Bank of Italy
20 Aug, 2026	Northern InSights: What local-language news reveal about geopolitical risk in a small open economy Policy Brief 1544	Gene Ambrocio \| Bank of Finland Zuzana Fungacova \| Bank of Finland Joni Heikkinen \| Bank of Finland Eeva Kerola \| Bank of Finland Iikka Korhonen \| Bank of Finland Anni Norring \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
20 Aug, 2026	Dollar dominance: A source of dollar volatility? Policy Brief 1543	Cara Bordier \| University of St. Gallen Lukas Frei \| Swiss National Bank Simon Stalder \| Swiss National Bank
20 Aug, 2026	Optimal macroprudential policy and bank capital in open economies Policy Brief 1542	Dudley Cooke \| Banco de Portugal Tatiana Damjanovic \| Durham University
13 Aug, 2026	Friend, not foe? Monetary policy and energy prices Policy Brief 1541	Goekhan Ider \| Freie Universität Berlin Alexander Kriwoluzky \| Freie Universität Berlin Frederik Kurcz \| Freie Universität Berlin Ben Schumann \| Humboldt University of Berlin
13 Aug, 2026	When tariffs flip the textbook: Deep learning and the non-linear macroeconomics of trade policy Policy Brief 1540	Massimo Ferrari Minesso \| European Central Bank (ECB) Carla Fenzel \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 Aug, 2026	Not just mood: Confidence measures and labour market fluctuations Policy Brief 1539	Marta Garcia-Rodriguez \| Banco de España Clemente Pinilla-Torremocha \| Bank of England
13 Aug, 2026	The uneven recovery of real wages in the euro area Policy Brief 1538	Eliana Viviano \| Bank of Italy
13 Aug, 2026	Beyond trade barriers: How trade policy uncertainty weakens foreign direct investment Policy Brief 1537	Hites Ahir \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Luca Bettarelli \| University of Palermo Davide Furceri \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Francesco Frangiamore \| University of Palermo Jonathan D. Ostry \| University of Toronto Francesco Scianna \| University of Palermo
13 Aug, 2026	Rare earths, hard choices: How China export controls could ripple through the global economy Policy Brief 1536	Pablo Aguilar \| European Central Bank (ECB) Matthieu Darracq Paries \| European Central Bank (ECB) Valentin Jouvanceau \| Bank of Lithuania Baptiste Meunier \| European Central Bank (ECB) Tajda Spital \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 Aug, 2026	Conflict, credit and control: How banks reorganise to preserve lending during conflict Policy Brief 1535	Nicola Limodio \| Bocconi University Luca Picariello \| University of Naples Federico II Tom Schwantje \| Bocconi University
6 Aug, 2026	Tokenized deposits: Old wine in new bottles? Policy Note 415	Alistair Milne \| Loughborough University
6 Aug, 2026	Determinants of digital euro adoption: The role of political orientation Policy Brief 1534	Andrej Cupak \| National Bank of Slovakia Pavel Gertler \| National Bank of Slovakia Daniel Hajdiak \| National Bank of Slovakia Jan Klacso \| National Bank of Slovakia Stefan Rychtarik \| National Bank of Slovakia
6 Aug, 2026	Better involved in payments with the household purse than sorry Policy Brief 1533	Carin van der Cruijsen \| De Nederlandsche Bank Doerthe Kunkel \| MoneyWise Rick Nijkamp \| MoneyWise
6 Aug, 2026	The fiscal communication paradox: Many voices, one budget Policy Brief 1532	Tatiana Evdokimova \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Patrick A. Imam \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
6 Aug, 2026	Geopolitical hybrid threats Policy Brief 1531	Norbert Metiu \| Deutsche Bundesbank Martin Voelpel \| Deutsche Bundesbank
6 Aug, 2026	Uncertainty: The hidden macroeconomic cost of AI Policy Brief 1530	Juan Reyes \| King’s College London
6 Aug, 2026	The consumer confidence conundrum Policy Brief 1529	Piet Haines Christiansen \| Danske Bank
3 Aug, 2026	Louder than rates: Do central banks systematically decide how much to say? Policy Brief 1560	Tiziana Assenza \| Toulouse School of Economics Fabrice Collard \| Toulouse School of Economics Dogukan Guney \| Toulouse School of Economics Philipp Wangner \| University of Mannheim
30 Jul, 2026	Safe from seizure: Gold and the fracturing of global finance Policy Note 414	Ulrich Bindseil \| Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE Svetla Daskalova \| European Central Bank (ECB) Richard Senner \| Financial Stability Board (FSB)
30 Jul, 2026	Carbon-intensive energy prices and monetary policy: lessons from a model comparison Policy Brief 1528	Matthias Burgert \| Swiss National Bank Matthieu Darracq Pariès \| European Central Bank (ECB) Luigi Durand \| Central Bank of Chile Mario González \| Central Bank of Chile Romanos Priftis \| European Central Bank (ECB) Oke Röhe \| Deutsche Bundesbank Matthias Rottner \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Edgar Silgado-Gómez \| Banco de España Nikolai Stähler \| Deutsche Bundesbank Janos Varga \| European Commission
30 Jul, 2026	Inflation perceptions and monetary policy: Implications for the euro area Policy Brief 1527	Volker Hahn \| University of Konstanz Michal Marencak \| National Bank of Slovakia
30 Jul, 2026	A structural model of capital buffer usability Policy Brief 1526	Jan Hannes Lang \| European Central Bank (ECB) Dominik Menno \| Deutsche Bundesbank
30 Jul, 2026	Federal Reserve shocks: Which securities really flow? Policy Brief 1525	Julia Schmidt \| Banque de France Maeva Silvestrini \| Banque de France Urszula Szczerbowicz \| SKEMA Business School
30 Jul, 2026	How US households see monetary policy: A channel-by-channel decomposition Policy Brief 1524	Francesco Grigoli \| Georgetown University Damiano Sandri \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Yuriy Gorodnichenko \| UC Berkeley Olivier Coibion \| University of Texas at Austin
30 Jul, 2026	Bygones are not bygones: Price-level memory and inflation differentials in the euro area Policy Brief 1523	Juhana Hukkinen \| Bank of Finland Matti Viren \| University of Turku
30 Jul, 2026	Assessing Structural Geopolitical Risk Policy Brief 1522	Miguel Jiménez \| BBVA Research David Sarasa-Flores \| BBVA Research Alfonso Ugarte-Ruiz \| BBVA Research
23 Jul, 2026	Which coherent corner? An options appraisal for Europe’s stablecoin choice Policy Note 413	Allan Pedersen \| Independent Researcher
23 Jul, 2026	One global shock, many inflation paths: Inflation propagation in a world of repeated supply shocks Policy Note 412	Patrick A. Imam \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Tigran Poghosyan \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
23 Jul, 2026	Detecting corporate vulnerabilities: Evidence on probability of default and earnings manipulation Policy Brief 1521	Nicolas Dierick \| European Central Bank (ECB) Lamia Allali \| European Central Bank (ECB) Alessandro Santoni \| European Central Bank (ECB)
23 Jul, 2026	United in diversity, constrained by heterogeneity? Inside the monetary policy village Policy Brief 1520	Martin Kocher \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
23 Jul, 2026	Liquidity and capital requirements for stablecoins Policy Brief 1519	Tirupam Goel \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Ulf Lewrick \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Isha Agarwal \| University of British Columbia
23 Jul, 2026	Why do euro area consumers (not) invest in stocks? Policy Brief 1518	Dimitris Christelis \| University of Glasgow Ivan la Franca \| Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB) Dimitris Georgarakos \| European Central Bank (ECB) Tullio Jappelli \| University of Naples Federico II Geoff Kenny \| European Central Bank (ECB) Justus Meyer \| European Central Bank (ECB)

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SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs