SUERF Policy Notes and Briefs

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Date	Title	Author(s)
13 Aug, 2026	Friend, not foe? Monetary policy and energy prices Policy Brief 1541	Goekhan Ider \| Freie Universität Berlin Alexander Kriwoluzky \| Freie Universität Berlin Frederik Kurcz \| Freie Universität Berlin Ben Schumann \| Humboldt University of Berlin
13 Aug, 2026	When tariffs flip the textbook: Deep learning and the non-linear macroeconomics of trade policy Policy Brief 1540	Massimo Ferrari Minesso \| European Central Bank (ECB) Carla Fenzel \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 Aug, 2026	Not just mood: Confidence measures and labour market fluctuations Policy Brief 1539	Marta Garcia-Rodriguez \| Banco de España Clemente Pinilla-Torremocha \| Bank of England
13 Aug, 2026	The uneven recovery of real wages in the euro area Policy Brief 1538	Eliana Viviano \| Bank of Italy
13 Aug, 2026	Beyond trade barriers: How trade policy uncertainty weakens foreign direct investment Policy Brief 1537	Hites Ahir \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Luca Bettarelli \| University of Palermo Davide Furceri \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Francesco Frangiamore \| University of Palermo Jonathan D. Ostry \| University of Toronto Francesco Scianna \| University of Palermo
13 Aug, 2026	Rare earths, hard choices: How China export controls could ripple through the global economy Policy Brief 1536	Pablo Aguilar \| European Central Bank (ECB) Matthieu Darracq Paries \| European Central Bank (ECB) Valentin Jouvanceau \| Bank of Lithuania Baptiste Meunier \| European Central Bank (ECB) Tajda Spital \| European Central Bank (ECB)
13 Aug, 2026	Conflict, credit and control: How banks reorganise to preserve lending during conflict Policy Brief 1535	Nicola Limodio \| Bocconi University Luca Picariello \| University of Naples Federico II Tom Schwantje \| Bocconi University
6 Aug, 2026	Tokenized deposits: Old wine in new bottles? Policy Note 415	Alistair Milne \| Loughborough University
6 Aug, 2026	Determinants of digital euro adoption: The role of political orientation Policy Brief 1534	Andrej Cupak \| National Bank of Slovakia Pavel Gertler \| National Bank of Slovakia Daniel Hajdiak \| National Bank of Slovakia Jan Klacso \| National Bank of Slovakia Stefan Rychtarik \| National Bank of Slovakia
6 Aug, 2026	Better involved in payments with the household purse than sorry Policy Brief 1533	Carin van der Cruijsen \| De Nederlandsche Bank Doerthe Kunkel \| MoneyWise Rick Nijkamp \| MoneyWise
6 Aug, 2026	The fiscal communication paradox: Many voices, one budget Policy Brief 1532	Tatiana Evdokimova \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Patrick A. Imam \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
6 Aug, 2026	Geopolitical hybrid threats Policy Brief 1531	Norbert Metiu \| Deutsche Bundesbank Martin Voelpel \| Deutsche Bundesbank
6 Aug, 2026	Uncertainty: The hidden macroeconomic cost of AI Policy Brief 1530	Juan Reyes \| King’s College London
6 Aug, 2026	The consumer confidence conundrum Policy Brief 1529	Piet Haines Christiansen \| Danske Bank
3 Aug, 2026	Louder than rates: Do central banks systematically decide how much to say? Policy Brief 1560	Tiziana Assenza \| Toulouse School of Economics Fabrice Collard \| Toulouse School of Economics Dogukan Guney \| Toulouse School of Economics Philipp Wangner \| University of Mannheim
30 Jul, 2026	Safe from seizure: Gold and the fracturing of global finance Policy Note 414	Ulrich Bindseil \| Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE Svetla Daskalova \| European Central Bank (ECB) Richard Senner \| Financial Stability Board (FSB)
30 Jul, 2026	Carbon-intensive energy prices and monetary policy: lessons from a model comparison Policy Brief 1528	Matthias Burgert \| Swiss National Bank Matthieu Darracq Pariès \| European Central Bank (ECB) Luigi Durand \| Central Bank of Chile Mario González \| Central Bank of Chile Romanos Priftis \| European Central Bank (ECB) Oke Röhe \| Deutsche Bundesbank Matthias Rottner \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Edgar Silgado-Gómez \| Banco de España Nikolai Stähler \| Deutsche Bundesbank Janos Varga \| European Commission
30 Jul, 2026	Inflation perceptions and monetary policy: Implications for the euro area Policy Brief 1527	Volker Hahn \| University of Konstanz Michal Marencak \| National Bank of Slovakia
30 Jul, 2026	A structural model of capital buffer usability Policy Brief 1526	Jan Hannes Lang \| European Central Bank (ECB) Dominik Menno \| Deutsche Bundesbank
30 Jul, 2026	Federal Reserve shocks: Which securities really flow? Policy Brief 1525	Julia Schmidt \| Banque de France Maeva Silvestrini \| Banque de France Urszula Szczerbowicz \| SKEMA Business School
30 Jul, 2026	How US households see monetary policy: A channel-by-channel decomposition Policy Brief 1524	Francesco Grigoli \| Georgetown University Damiano Sandri \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Yuriy Gorodnichenko \| UC Berkeley Olivier Coibion \| University of Texas at Austin
30 Jul, 2026	Bygones are not bygones: Price-level memory and inflation differentials in the euro area Policy Brief 1523	Juhana Hukkinen \| Bank of Finland Matti Viren \| University of Turku
30 Jul, 2026	Assessing Structural Geopolitical Risk Policy Brief 1522	Miguel Jiménez \| BBVA Research David Sarasa-Flores \| BBVA Research Alfonso Ugarte-Ruiz \| BBVA Research
23 Jul, 2026	Which coherent corner? An options appraisal for Europe’s stablecoin choice Policy Note 413	Allan Pedersen \| Independent Researcher
23 Jul, 2026	One global shock, many inflation paths: Inflation propagation in a world of repeated supply shocks Policy Note 412	Patrick A. Imam \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Tigran Poghosyan \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
23 Jul, 2026	Detecting corporate vulnerabilities: Evidence on probability of default and earnings manipulation Policy Brief 1521	Nicolas Dierick \| European Central Bank (ECB) Lamia Allali \| European Central Bank (ECB) Alessandro Santoni \| European Central Bank (ECB)
23 Jul, 2026	United in diversity, constrained by heterogeneity? Inside the monetary policy village Policy Brief 1520	Martin Kocher \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
23 Jul, 2026	Liquidity and capital requirements for stablecoins Policy Brief 1519	Tirupam Goel \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Ulf Lewrick \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Isha Agarwal \| University of British Columbia
23 Jul, 2026	Why do euro area consumers (not) invest in stocks? Policy Brief 1518	Dimitris Christelis \| University of Glasgow Ivan la Franca \| Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB) Dimitris Georgarakos \| European Central Bank (ECB) Tullio Jappelli \| University of Naples Federico II Geoff Kenny \| European Central Bank (ECB) Justus Meyer \| European Central Bank (ECB)
23 Jul, 2026	Dollar debt in a fragmenting world: When can inherited dollar debt be restructured into yuan? Policy Brief 1517	Felipe Benguria \| University of Kentucky Eugenio Rojas \| University of Florida Felipe Saffie \| University of Virginia
23 Jul, 2026	Conflicting policy signals and the transmission of monetary policy to long-term rates Policy Brief 1516	Sylverie Herbert \| Banque de France Paul Hubert \| Banque de France Mathias Le \| Banque de France
16 Jul, 2026	Money or MiCA’s stablecoin hybrid and the direction of the 2026 review credit? Policy Note 411	Allan Pedersen \| Independent researcher
16 Jul, 2026	Bond funds as a channel of global monetary policy transmission Policy Brief 1515	Miriam Koomen \| Swiss National Bank Pınar Yeşin \| Swiss National Bank Hugo Zweifel \| Swiss National Bank
16 Jul, 2026	The nexus between the deposit and risk-taking channels of monetary policy Policy Brief 1514	Jose E. Gutierrez \| Banco de España Enric Martorell \| Banco de España Mariya Melnychuk \| Banco de España
16 Jul, 2026	The credibility premium: Central bank independence and local-currency sovereign yields in emerging economies Policy Brief 1513	Adrian Alter \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Julia Bersch \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Albert Touna Mama \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Bright Quaye \| Washington University in St. Louis
16 Jul, 2026	A Euro-stability bond for fiscal discipline without instability Policy Brief 1512	Luciano Greco \| University of Padova Francesco Jacopo Pintus \| University of Verona Davide Raggi \| Ca’ Foscari University of Venice
16 Jul, 2026	Macroeconomic effects of the green transition in the euro area and critical mineral bottlenecks Policy Brief 1511	Anna Bartocci \| Bank of Italy Alessandro Cantelmo \| Bank of Italy Pietro Cova \| Bank of Italy Massimiliano Pisani \| Bank of Italy
16 Jul, 2026	When liquidity fails to predict spending: Self-insurance and the spending responses of affluent households Policy Brief 1510	Ettore Savoia \| Sveriges Riksbank
16 Jul, 2026	The ECB and the Hormuz shock: Lessons from 2021–22 Policy Brief 1509	Cinzia Alcidi \| CEPS Ignazio Angeloni \| Institute for European Policymaking (Bocconi)
9 Jul, 2026	On the (in)adequacy of stablecoins Policy Brief 1508	Ignazio Angeloni \| Institute for European Policymaking (Bocconi)
9 Jul, 2026	Money of the future: Key policy issues and three scenarios for 2035 Policy Brief 1507	Ulrich Bindseil \| TU Berlin Markus Brunnermeier \| Princeton University Darrell Duffie \| Stanford University Stefan Ingves \| Swedish House of Finance Martin Scheicher \| European Central Bank (ECB) Natacha Valla \| Sciences Po
9 Jul, 2026	Public signals and private biases in firms’ inflation expectations Policy Brief 1506	Filippo Natoli \| Bank of Italy Sharath Sonti \| University of California
9 Jul, 2026	Synthetic, but how much risk transfer? Policy Brief 1505	Alex Osberghaus \| University of Zurich Glenn Schepens \| European Central Bank (ECB)
9 Jul, 2026	Tilting external finance towards equity: Why sequencing of capital account liberalization matters Policy Brief 1504	Tobias Krahnke \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wenjie Li \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
9 Jul, 2026	Green but not neutral: The life-cycle redistribution force of carbon pricing Policy Brief 1503	Barbara Annicchiarico \| Roma Tre University Jean-Guillaume Sahuc \| Banque de France Gauthier Vermandel \| Ecole Polytechnique
9 Jul, 2026	Trade wars, trade woes? Policy Brief 1502	Maria Manuel Campos \| Banco de Portugal
9 Jul, 2026	Central clearing, counterparty risk, and repo specialness Policy Brief 1501	Piotr Danisewicz \| Tilburg University Tobias Dieler \| University of Bristol Loriano Mancini \| USI Lugano Francesco Mazzari \| USI Lugano Julian Metzler \| European Central Bank (ECB)
1 Jul, 2026	How can AI influence the economy and monetary policy? Policy Note 410	Aino Bunge \| Sveriges Riksbank Bjorn Lagerwall \| Sveriges Riksbank
1 Jul, 2026	Populism and central bank independence: Legal erosion without governor dismissals Policy Brief 1500	Aline Scheurer \| KOF Swiss Economic Institute Jan-Egbert Sturm \| KOF Swiss Economic Institute Jakob de Haan \| University of Groningen
1 Jul, 2026	Fiscal consolidation increases political instability Policy Brief 1499	Philipp Heimberger \| Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) Anna Matzner \| Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)

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SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs