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SUERF Conference, hosted by EY

Monetary policy normalisation: scenarios and risks

Date:    10 April 2018
Venue: EY Offices, 1 More London Place, London, United Kingdom

This one-day conference, organised by SUERF and hosted by EY in London, will bring together academics, officials, and industry representatives to examine scenarios for interest rate levels around the globe as well as the challenges arising from a withdrawal of monetary stimulus by major central banks.


Tuesday, 10 April 2018
08:00 Registration and welcome coffee
08:30 Opening and welcome remarks

Mark Gregory, Chief Economist, EY

Urs W. Birchler, SUERF President and University of Zurich

08:45 Opening keynote speech and SUERF Annual Lecture

Ewald Nowotny, Governor, Oesterreichische Nationalbank

SUERF Annual Lecture 2018

Governor Nowotny - presentationGovernor Nowotny - presentation

09:15 Session 1: Fundamental drivers of interest rates: scenarios for the future

Chair: Patricia Jackson, Lloyd’s of London franchise board, Atom bank, BGL, SMBC Nikko

Cinzia Alcidi, Centre for European Policy Studies
C. Alcidi - presentationC. Alcidi - presentation

Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Bank for International Settlements
P. Rungcharoenkitkul - presentationP. Rungcharoenkitkul - presentation

10:30 Coffee break
11:00 Session 2: Implications for financial firms and markets: a volatile and challenging future?
Discussion paper
William Perraudin, Imperial College, Risk Control Limited, “The decline in market liquidity”

Chair: Tom Huertas, EY

Peter Hahn, The London Institute of Banking & Finance

Nicholas Lincoln, LCH

Thomas Kick, Deutsche Bundesbank

Klaus Wiener, German Insurance Association (GDV)

13:00 Lunch
14:00 Keynote speech

Implications for current central bank balance sheets
Paul Fisher, formerly Bank of England/MPC
P. Fisher - presentationP. Fisher - presentation

14:30 Session 3: The future course of monetary policy
Discussion paper
Charles Goodhart, LSE, “The future of monetary policy”

Chair: Ernest Gnan, Oesterreichische Nationalbank and SUERF

European Economics Presentation - Central Banks: Handling Normalisation
Christian Schulz, Citigroup

Link to the presentation

Stephen King, HSBC

Prospects for Policy Normalisation: CEE and Scandinavia
Pasquale Diana, Morgan Stanley
Copyright 2018 Morgan Stanley.
Morgan Stanley has provided this report as a courtesy.  Please do not forward or redistribute this report or any information that may be contained therein.  Please note that this report should not be relied upon as investment advice. The referenced information is only as current as the publication date. Morgan Stanley does not undertake to advise you of changes in the opinions or information referenced in these materials.
P. Diana - presentationP. Diana - presentation

16:00 End of conference - Networking coffe & drinks

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