Thursday, September 10, 2020
Thursday, September 10, 2020

In cooperation with

Eva Ortega, Senior Adviser and Research Coordinator, Banco de España
Juha Kilponen, Head of Monetary Policy and Research Department, Bank of Finland
Martin Schneider, Economist, OeNB
Fabio Canova,  Professor of Economics, BI Norwegian Business School, Oslo, Norway

Bruno CabrillacDeputy Director General Statistics, Economics and International,  Banque de France and SUERF Council

The following questions will be addressed:
– What challenges does the corona crisis bring for forecasters?
– How to deal with fundamental uncertainty arising from the pandemic?
– Role of scenarios
– Which types of shocks are we dealing with?
– Implications for estimates of potential output and for inflation forecasting
– How to link epidemiological and economic models?
– Real-time economic indicators
– Role of sectoral analysis
– How to link firms’ financial analysis, banking sector analysis and conjunctural analysis/forecasting?

Webinar Slides (pdf)

Bruno Cabrillac: Economic forecasting during the Corona: What the bank of France is doing
Eva Ortega: Economic Forecasting during and after corona
Juha Kilponen: Forecasting under extreme uncertainty
Martin Schneider: Impact of COVID-19 on sectoral insolvency rates in Austria

Fabio Canova: Forecasting after COVID