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Venue

Webex

Format

online

Date

Thursday, September 10, 2020

In cooperation with

The following questions will be addressed:

– What challenges does the corona crisis bring for forecasters?
– How to deal with fundamental uncertainty arising from the pandemic?
– Role of scenarios
– Which types of shocks are we dealing with?
– Implications for estimates of potential output and for inflation forecasting
– How to link epidemiological and economic models?
– Real-time economic indicators
– Role of sectoral analysis
– How to link firms’ financial analysis, banking sector analysis and conjunctural analysis/forecasting?

Program

Time
Thursday, 10 September 2020
16:00
Economic Forecasting during and after corona
Opening and moderation by Bruno Cabrillac, Banque de France I SUERF

Economic forecasting during and after corona

Eva Ortega, Banco de España Presentation (pdf)

Forecasting under extreme uncertainty

Juha Kilponen, Bank of Finland Presentation (pdf)

Impact of COVID 19 on sectoral insolvency rates in Austria

Martin Schneider, OeNB Presentation (pdf)
Fabio Canova, BI Norwegian Business School, Oslo

17:30
End