SUERF Workshop

Housing Markets in the 2020s: Valuation, drivers, risks and policies

Date: Wednesday, 21st September 2022, online via Webex

In this workshop, we will discuss the drivers of real estate prices: How far will interest rate hikes curb real estate credit and prices? Is there a risk of bursting bubbles? Are real estate markets overvalued? Furthermore, which policy measures should governments and macroprudential supervisors take: state of play, comparative stock-taking of best practices, including macropru and taxation?

Wednesday, 21 September 2022
13:30	Welcome

13:35	Session 1: Valuation, drivers and risks

	Chair: Sylvain Broyer, Chief EMEA Economist, S&P Global Ratings Housing market risks in the wake of the pandemic Deniz Igan, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis, BIS and SUERF Presentation (pdf) How overheated is the German real estate market? Anke Wetzka, Senior Economist, General Economics, Deutsche Bundesbank Presentation (pdf) The role of institutional investors in housing markets Manuel A. Muñoz, Senior Lead Expert, European Central Bank Presentation (pdf)

15:00	Session 2: Policy measures

	Chair: Ernest Gnan, Head, Monetary Policy Section, OeNB I SUERF Keeping house prices in check: the role of policy Luiz de Mello, Director, Economics Department, OECD Presentation (pdf) Discussion of policy options John Muellbauer, Professor, Nuffield College, University of Oxford Presentation (pdf)

16:00	End

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Housing Markets in the 2020s: Valuation, drivers, risks and policies