### References

Acemoglu, D., Chernozhukov, V., Werning, I. and M. Whinston, M. D. (2020), “Optimal Targeted Lockdowns in a Multi-Group SIR Model”, NBER Working Paper No. 27102.

Alupoaiei, A., Bálint, C., Kubinschi M. (2021), “A technical toolkit to monitor a pandemic outbreak from a central bank perspective”, NBR Occasional Papers No. 32. Available at https://www.bnr.ro/Occasional-papers-3217.aspx

Alvarez, F., Argente D. and F. Lippi. (2020), “A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown”, NBER Working Paper No. 26981.

Barro, R. (2005), “Rare Events and The Equity Premium”, NBER Working Paper No. 11310.

Chowell, G., Tariq, A. and J.M. Hyman (2019), “A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves”, BMC Med 17, 164.

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (2020), “Projected baselines of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK for assessing the impact of de-escalation of measures”, ECDC: Stockholm, 2020.

Hall, R., Jones C., and P. Klenow (2020), “Trading Off Consumption and COVID-19 Deaths”, Working Paper, Stanford University.

IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team (2020), “Modeling COVID-19 scenarios for the United States”, Nature Medicine, 23 October 2020.

Kermack, W. O., McKendrick, A. G. (1927), “A Contribution to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics”. Proceedings of the Royal Society A. 115(772): 700–721.