In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 744 | Fiscal sources of inflation risk in EMDEs: the role of the external channel | Ryan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 743 | Impact assessment of high inflation on Greek public finances. Does the type of inflation matter? Evidence from a highly indebted country | Sophia Lazaretou, George Palaiodimos |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 737 | Underlying Inflation, Regime Shifts and Asymmetric Risks | Hervé Le Bihan, Danilo Leiva-León, Matías Pacce |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 730 | Inflation expectations in CESEE are shaped by the sentiment and experiences of individuals | Katharina Allinger, Fabio Rumler |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 722 | High Debt Levels Can Impede Monetary Policy | Luis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos, Olamide Harrison, Gunes Kamber |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 720 | Forecasting euro area inflation with machine learning models | Michele Lenza, Inés Moutachaker, Joan Paredes |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 717 | The role of demand and supply factors during a period of high inflation – the case of Ireland | Thomas Conefrey, Darragh McLaughlin |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 714 | What drives inflation? Disentangling demand and supply factors | Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 712 | The Term Structure of Inflation Forecasts Disagreement and Monetary Policy Transmission | Alessandro Barbera, Dora Xia, Sonya Zhu |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 710 | Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro area | Stefano Neri, Fabio Busetti, Cristina Conflitti, Francesco Corsello, Davide Delle Monache, Alex Tagliabracci |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 698 | E-commerce and Price Setting: Evidence from Europe | Georg Strasser, Elisabeth Wieland, Paweł Macias, Aneta Błażejowska, Karol Szafranek, David Wittekopf |
Oct 2023 | Policy Note | No 324 | Money and inflation | Isabel Schnabel |
Sep 2023 | Policy Note | No 322 | Central Banks: Firefighters or Pyromaniacs in Recent Crises? | Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 690 | Gauging price pressures in the euro area with the inflation compass | Nuno Lourenço, João Quelhas, António Rua |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 686 | The long-term effects of inflation on inflation expectations | Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub, Michael Weber |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 677 | How does changing pricing behavior affect inflation? Evidence from Euro Area microdata | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 663 | The drivers of market-based inflation expectations in the euro area and in the US | Christian Höynck and Luca Rossi |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 653 | Macroprudential Policy and Bank Systemic Risk: Does Inflation Targeting Matter? | Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon, Woon Gyu Choi, Farah Mugrabi |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 651 | Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks on real oil prices | Szilard Benk, Max Gillman |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 645 | How to measure inflation volatility. A Note. | Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux, Maria T. Gonzalez-Perez, David E. Guerrero |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 642 | House price expectations and inflation expectations: Evidence from survey data | Vedanta Dhamija, Ricardo Nunes, Roshni Tara |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 639 | Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area | Martin Mandler, Michael Scharnagl |
Jul 2023 | Policy Note | No 314 | Has monetary policy changed for good? A retrospective on recent history and implications going forward | Stefano Neri |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 634 | 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay | Monica Defend, Vincent Mortier |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 626 | Macroprudential policy in the high inflation environment: Sailing uncharted waters | Carsten Detken, Ján Klacso, Reiner Martin |
Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 601 | What are the short-to-medium-term effects of extreme weather on the Croatian economy? | Tihana Škrinjarić |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 598 | Do hawks sit on stronger branches? Central banks’ equity and policy reactions | Marcel Barmeier, André Casalis |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 593 | How often and how much do food prices change during periods of high inflation – an analysis of online prices in Austria | Christian Beer, Robert Ferstl, Bernhard Graf, Fabio Rumler |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 591 | What to expect after “effortless” debt reduction in the euro area? | Matthias Reith |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 584 | Euro Area inflation differentials: the role of fiscal policies revisited | Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Nadine Leiner-Killinger, Teresa Schildmann |
May 2023 | Policy Note | No 310 | Monetary and fiscal policies as anchors of trust and stability | Agustín Carstens |
Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 577 | Will a Green Transition lead to Greenflation? | Conny Olovsson, David Vestin |
Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 571 | Has the euro changeover really caused extra inflation in Croatia? | Matteo Falagiarda, Christine Gartner, Ivan Mužić, Andreja Pufnik |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 550 | Lower for longer under Endogenous Technology Growth | Michaela Elfsbacka Schmöller, Martin Spitzer |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 548 | The Euro Area Great Inflation Surge | Guido Ascari, Paolo Bonomolo, Marco Hoeberichts, Riccardo Trezzi |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 547 | Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach | Carlos Montes-Galdón, Joan Paredes, Elias Wolf |
Mar 2023 | Policy Note | No 304 | Should central banks raise inflation targets? | Ernest Gnan, Robert Holzmann |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 536 | Disruptions in global supply chains drive inflation in the euro area | David Finck, Peter Tillmann |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 533 | When food bites back: What quarterly firm-level data reveal about food inflation | André Casalis |
Feb 2023 | Policy Note | No 298 | European Housing Prices: A Sticky, Gradual Decline | Sylvain Broyer, Marion Amiot, Boris S Glass, Aude Guez |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 512 | Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices | Barbara Rudolf, Pascal Seiler |
Jan 2023 | Policy Note | No 296 | Finding the right mix: monetary-fiscal interaction at times of high inflation | Isabel Schnabel |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 488 | Can we have a sudden stop for inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 482 | Shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area | Nektarios A. Michail, Konstantinos D. Melas, Lena T. Cleanthous |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 470 | What micro price data teach us about the inflation process: web-scraping in PRISMA | Chiara Osbat |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 455 | Forecasting and Understanding US Inflation with Artificial Intelligence | Philippe Goulet Coulombe |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 445 | Fiscal deficits and inflation risks: the role of fiscal and monetary policy regimes | Ryan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 431 | Consumer Inflation Expectations and Regional Price Changes | Tomasz Łyziak, Michael Pedersen, Ewa Stanisławska |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 289 | Monetary policy in the euro area: the next phase | Philip R. Lane |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 419 | Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 287 | Monetary policy and the Great Volatility | Isabel Schnabel |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 407 | Household inflation expectations react to high euro area inflation | Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner, Maarten van Rooij |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 405 | Forgetting Approaches to Improve Forecasting: Executive Summary | Robert Hill, Paulo Rodrigues |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 396 | The pass-through from inflation perceptions to inflation expectations | Stefanie J. Huber, Daria Minina, Tobias Schmidt |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 393 | Stagflation in the 1970s: lessons for the current situation | Almira Enders, Sebastian Giesen, Dominic Quint |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 391 | Why is Swiss inflation low? | GianLuigi Mandruzzato |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 390 | Dissent in the ECB’s Governing Council Increases Households’ Inflation Uncertainty | Moritz Grebe, Peter Tillmann |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 382 | What Should the Inflation Target Be? Views from 600 Economists | Gene Ambrocio, Andrea Ferrero, Esa Jokivuolle, Kim Ristolainen |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 377 | What lessons can we learn from the heterogeneity in inflation expectations among economic agents? | Camille Cornand, Paul Hubert |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 376 | Climate change and inflation in the euro area | Christiane Nickel |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 374 | When Are “Inflation Expectations” Inflation Expectations? New Evidence From Business Surveys | Brent H. Meyer, Xuguang Simon Sheng |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 370 | Too little too late: ECB’s normalisation path was model- rather than data-driven | Daniel Gros, Farzaneh Shamsfakhr |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 368 | Inflation Expectations and Climate Concern | Christoph Meinerding, Andrea Poinelli, Yves Schüler |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 360 | On the psychology of inflation and its implications | Pascal Blanqué |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 358 | Forecasting Inflation in France: an update of the model used at Banque de France | Youssef Ulgazi, Paul Vertier |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 337 | Does it matter that households disagree about inflation? | Alistair Macaulay |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 323 | Is Super-Active Fiscal Policy Desirable? | Roberto M. Billi, Carl E. Walsh |
Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 273 | The return of inflation | Agustín Carstens |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 312 | Household Uncertainty and Inflation | Gene Ambrocio |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 311 | Making Sense of Consumers’ Inflation Expectations | Lovisa Reiche, Aidan Meyler, Christian Gayer |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 308 | Investor demand in syndicated bond issuances: stylised facts | Martin Hillebrand, Marko Mravlak, Peter Schwendner |
Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 270 | Will the supply-driven oil price shock unanchor inflation expectations? | Matthew Luzzetti, Brett Ryan, Justin Weidner, Amy Yang |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 283 | Don’t trust the (inflation) process | Bruce Kasman |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 277 | Money and psychology of inflation: an investor view | Pascal Blanqué |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 271 | Including inflation expectations helps to improve inflation forecasts of econometric models | Marta Bańbura, Danilo Leiva-León, Jan-Oliver Menz |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 264 | Why disinflation can be more costly in a small open economy than in a closed economy | Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson, Nadiia Shapovalenko |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 263 | Pitfalls of Inflation Tolerance Ranges | Hervé Le Bihan, Magali Marx, Julien Matheron |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 257 | Why do households save? | Sami Oinonen, Matti Viren |
Jan 2022 | Policy Note | No 263 | Monetary Policy in a World of Radical Uncertainty | Mervyn King |
Dec 2021 | Policy Note | No 259 | Crises as a catalyst for change – lessons from the past, challenges for the future | Jens Weidmann |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 198 | Why did the pass-through from labor cost to price inflation decline in the US? | Elena Bobeica, Matteo Ciccarelli, Isabel Vansteenkiste |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 189 | How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics in Turkey? | Hülya Saygılı |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 174 | Low-for-ultra-long policy will not be enough for Japan | Hiroshi Ugai |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 172 | Central banks as bank supervisors: how does this double role affect their inflation outcomes? | Vasco Gabriel, Ioannis Lazopoulos, Diana Lima |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 148 | The role of information channels and experience for households’ inflation expectations | Christian Conrad, Zeno Enders and Alexander Glas |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 141 | Some warning signals about average inflation targeting | Seppo Honkapohja, Nigel McClung |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 136 | What does “below, but close to, two per cent” mean? Assessing the ECB’s reaction function with real time data | Maritta Paloviita, Markus Haavio, Pirkka Jalasjoki, Juha Kilponen |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 130 | How well are consumers’ inflation expectations anchored to the ECB’s inflation aim? | Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner, Maarten van Rooij |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 121 | How climate protection adds to inflation | Jörg Krämer, Ralph Solveen |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 119 | Six ways to bring inflation (expectations) up | Ernest Gnan |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 111 | A rising core lifts all baskets | Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton, Michael S Hanson |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 109 | Quantifying bias and inaccuracy of upper-level aggregation in Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices for Germany and the euro area | By Thomas Knetsch, Julika Herzberg , Patrick Schwind and Sebastian Weinand |
May 2021 | Policy Note | No 242 | Does the upturn in Eurozone money growth imply 5% inflation? | Tim Congdon |
Jan 2021 | Policy Brief | No 41 | Is inflation dead or hibernating? | Claudio Borio |
Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 211 | Preparing for a higher inflation regime | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 202 | Policy revolution | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 201 | Central banks’ response to the “tragedy on the horizon” | François Villeroy de Galhau |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 199 | Macroeconomic stabilisation when nominal interest rates are constrained: A role for household inflation expectations? | Geoff Kenny, Ioana Duca-Radu, Andreas Reuter |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 197 | The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival | C.A.E. Goodhart, Manoj Pradhan |
Sep 2020 | Policy Brief | No 25 | After Coronavirus: Deflation or Inflation? | C.A.E. Goodhart |
Aug 2020 | Policy Brief | No 23 | Eurozone in times of Covid-19: Debt monetisation by stealth | Peter Vanden Houte |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 170 | International inflation co-movements | Philip R. Lane |
Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 144 | Euro Area Economics: Putting the OOH into HICP | Jacob Nell, Bruna Skarica, Joao Almeida, Markus Guetschow |
Jan 2020 | Policy Note | No 121 | The quest for policy scope: Implications for monetary policy strategies | Klaas Knot |
Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 117 | Euro Area Fiscal Policy: The Factual, the Possible and the Surprising | Daniele Antonucci |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 112 | Inflation In The Eurozone Is Dead. Long Live (The Right Kind Of) Inflation | Sylvain Broyer |
Oct 2019 | Policy Note | No 105 | Dealing with the next downturn: From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand |
Sep 2019 | Policy Note | No 94 | Escaping the Trap: Secular Stagnation, Monetary Policy and Financial Fragility | Martin Wolf |
May 2019 | Policy Note | No 69 | The post-crisis Phillips Curve and its policy implications: cumulative wage gap matters for inflation | Liviu Voinea |
Dec 2016 | Policy Note | No 9 | Two turbulent centuries: Lessons from Austria’s monetary policy, 1816-2016 | Ernest Gnan, Clemens Jobst |
Apr 2016 | Policy Note | No 5 | Some seeming paradoxes or interesting points of Russia’s economy and banking sector | Stephan Barisitz |
Feb 2016 | Policy Note | No 4 | Gender diversity and monetary policy | Donato Masciandaro, Paola Profeta, Davide Romelli |
Sep 2015 | Policy Note | No 1 | What is money and who says so? | Peter R. Fisher |