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SUERF Policy Notes

In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
 


Date publishedSUERFIssueTitleAuthor(s)
Dec 2023Policy NoteNo 329Eurozone Banks: Higher Reserve Requirements Would Dent Profits And LiquidityNicolas Charnay, Pierre Hollegien
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 749Monetary policy transmission below zero: In search of the reversal rateZuzana Fungáčová, Eeva Kerola, Olli-Matti Laine
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 738Transmission of interest rate hikes depends on the level of central bank reserves held by banksDaniel Fricke, Stefan Greppmair, Karol Paludkiewicz
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 736Banks’ credit forecasts excel at rank ordering but miss the evolution of lossesMartin Birn, Renzo Corrias, Christian Schmieder, Nikola Tarashev
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 719Should credit lines be regulated?Jose E. Gutierrez
Oct 2023Policy NoteNo 323What An Acceleration of Quantitative Tightening Could Mean For Eurozone BanksNicolas Charnay, Pierre Hollegien, Sylvain Broyer, Aude Guez
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 695Including Carbon Taxation Risk in Deutsche Bundesbank’s In-house Credit Assessment System (ICAS): An Empirical AnalysisJustus Grundmann, Laura Auria
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 692Innovation, Industry Equilibrium, and Discount RatesMaria Cecilia Bustamante, Francesca Zucchi
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 687Fear The Walking Dead? Zombie Firms in the Euro Area and Their Effect on Healthy Firms’ Credit ConditionsLea Katharina Havemeister, Kristian Horn
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 680US Monetary Policy Spillovers To Emerging Markets: The Role of Trade CreditMélina London, Maéva Silvestrini
Sep 2023Policy NoteNo 319Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policyPedro Duarte Neves
Aug 2023Policy BriefNo 648 European bank performance – as good as it gets, despite recent wobbles?Jan Schildbach
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 643Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest RatesMarco Felici, Geoff Kenny, Roberta Friz
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 641Exploring the informational role of inflated credit ratingsAnna Bayona, Oana Peia, Razvan Vlahu
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 632When Do Credit Booms Become Troublesome?Eddie Gerba, Danilo Leiva-León, Johannes Poeschl
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 623Are firms credit constrained? Answers from a Swedish credit registryNiklas Amberg, Tor Jacobson, Vincenzo Quadrini, Anna Rogantini Picco
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 620Insights into Credit Loss Rates: A Global DatabaseLi Lian Ong, Christian Schmieder, Min Wei
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 617On the effectiveness of dividend restrictions as supervisory policy toolErnest Dautović, Leonardo Gambacorta, Alessio Reghezza
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 614After the crypto-winter, the spring of crypto-assets regulation and supervisionDenis Beau
May 2023Policy BriefNo 587CBDC Policies in Open EconomiesMichael Kumhof, Marco Pinchetti, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Andrej Sokol
May 2023Policy BriefNo 579Do unrealised bank losses affect loan pricing?Matjaž Volk
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 572House prices and ultra-low interest rates: Exploring the non-linear nexusDaniel Dieckelmann, Hannah S. Hempell, Barbara Jarmulska, Jan Hannes Lang, Marek Rusnák
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 563Regulators as Risk Managers: Macroprudential Policy through a Risk Management LensDaniel Dimitrov, Sweder van Wijnbergen
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 555Technology and Asset Liquidations: Evidence from Real Estate CollateralFrancesco Mazzola
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 551Who funds zombie firms: banks or non-banks?Saara Tuuli
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 546Bank lending to small firms: metamorphosis of a financing modelPaolo Finaldi Russo, Valentina Nigro, Sabrina Pastorelli
Feb 2023Policy BriefNo 525FX intervention to stabilize or manipulate the exchange rate? Inference from profitabilityDamiano Sandri
Feb 2023Policy NoteNo 298European Housing Prices: A Sticky, Gradual DeclineSylvain Broyer, Marion Amiot, Boris S Glass, Aude Guez
Jan 2023Policy BriefNo 513Gender diversity in bank boardrooms helps to combat climate changeLeonardo Gambacorta, Livia Pancotto, Alessio Reghezza, Martina Spaggiari
Jan 2023Policy BriefNo 502Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks’ Joint Probability of Default on the Financial CyclePaul Bochmann, Paul Hiebert, Yves Schüler, Miguel Segoviano
Dec 2022Policy NoteNo 294A modern credit guidance regime for the green transitionKatie Kedward, Daniela Gabor, Josh Ryan-Collins
Dec 2022Policy BriefNo 497European Small Business Finance Outlook: SMEs in between crisesHelmut Kraemer-Eis, Antonia Botsari, Salome Gvetadze, Frank Lang, Wouter Torfs
Dec 2022Policy BriefNo 482Shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro AreaNektarios A. Michail, Konstantinos D. Melas, Lena T. Cleanthous
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 476Finance in Africa 2022: Navigating the financial landscape in turbulent timesColin Bermingham, Barbara Marchitto, Debora Revoltella
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 473The Impact of Natural Disasters on Banks’ Impairment Flow – Evidence from GermanyIliriana Shala, Benno Schumacher
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 462Disclosure of climate change risks in credit ratingsMiriam Breitenstein, Stefania Ciummo, Florian Walch
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 461Dual interest rates and the transmission of monetary policyFrancesca Barbiero, Lorenzo Burlon, Maria Dimou, Jan Toczynski
Oct 2022Policy BriefNo 454Augmented credit-to-GDP gap as a more reliable indicator for macroprudential policy decision-makingTihana Škrinjarić
Oct 2022Policy BriefNo 450Are Liability Driven Investors (LDIs) a liability for policymakers?Giacomo Carboni, Martin Ellison
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 422Job polarisation decreases the access to credit in Europe Michele Cantarella, Ilja Kristian Kavonius
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 410 Should we trust the credit decisions provided by machine learning models?Andrés Alonso, José Manuel Carbó
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 387Climate Change-Related Regulatory Risks and Bank LendingIsabella Mueller, Eleonora Sfrappini
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 378Estimating Growth-at-Risk: Insights from a Structural Nonlinear ModelMatthias Rottner
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 355Japan’s Sovereign Rating in the Post-Pandemic Era: Quo Vadis?Jinho Choi, Alexander den Ruijter, Kimi Xu Jiang, Edmund Moshammer
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 351Currency demand at negative interest ratesEdoardo Rainone
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 347Sectoral exchange rate pass-through in the euro areaChiara Osbat, Yiqiao Sun, Martin Wagner
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 344Elections Hinder Firms’ Access to CreditFlorian Léon, Laurent Weill
Apr 2022Policy NoteNo 274Stylised facts on debt and financial crisisPedro Duarte Neves
Apr 2022Policy BriefNo 309The low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit riskSante Carbone, Margherita Giuzio, Sujit Kapadia, Johannes Sebastian Krämer, Ken Nyholm, Katia Vozian
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 305Is There Financial Exclusion when Official Lenders Are Considered?María Bru Muñoz
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 304Mind the gap: The widening post-pandemic gender divideJoyce Chang, Amy Ho
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 297Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action planAviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 293Tax Race to the Bottom Harms Location Attractiveness of Western EuropeLeonie Fischer, Jost H. Heckemeyer, Christoph Spengel, Daniela Steinbrenner
Jan 2022Policy BriefNo 264Why disinflation can be more costly in a small open economy than in a closed economyOleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson, Nadiia Shapovalenko
Jan 2022Policy BriefNo 261Firm financing and public liquidity measures during the pandemicIda Rommedahl Julin, Andreas Kuchler, Alexander Meldgaard Otte
Jan 2022Policy BriefNo 260Credit Constrained Firms and Government Subsidies: Evidence from a European Union ProgramTirupam Goel, Péter Lang, Eszter Balogh, Ádám Banai, Martin Stancsics, Előd Takáts, Álmos Telegdy
Jan 2022Policy NoteNo 263Monetary Policy in a World of Radical UncertaintyMervyn King
Dec 2021Policy BriefNo 252Determinants of the credit cycle: a flow analysis of the extensive marginVincenzo Cuciniello, Nicola di Iasio
Dec 2021Policy BriefNo 251Have Bail-in Policies Reduced Too-Big-To-Fail Expectations? Evidence from the European Overnight Interbank MarketEero Tölö, Esa Jokivuolle, Matti Virén
Dec 2021Policy BriefNo 236How to steer interest rates in negative territory? An analysis of reserve tiering and interbank market activityLucas Marc Fuhrer, Matthias Jüttner, Jan Wrampelmeyer, Matthias Zwicker
Nov 2021Policy BriefNo 214How do Loan-to-Value Caps Impact Bank Lending and Credit Spillover?Selva Bahar Baziki, Tanju Çapacıoğlu
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 204Combining negative rates, forward guidance and asset purchases: Identification and impacts of the ECB’s unconventional policiesMassimo Rostagno, Carlo Altavilla, Giacomo Carboni, Wolfgang Lemke, Roberto Motto, Arthur Saint Guilhem
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 203The reform of the EU’s fiscal governance framework in a new macroeconomic environmentMario Alloza, Javier Andrés, Pablo Burriel, Iván Kataryniuk, Javier J. Pérez, Juan Luis Vega
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 202Revisiting the link between government debt and sovereign interest rates in the euro areaStéphanie Pamies, Nicolas Carnot, Anda Pătărău
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 196Negative interest rates and the erosion of banks’ interest marginsJorien Freriks, Jan Kakes
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 184Frozen markets: Iceland’s experience with capital controlsFrancis Breedon, Thórarinn G. Pétursson, Paolo Vitale
Sep 2021Policy NoteNo 256Ultra low interest rates from the perspective of a central bankerLars Rohde
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 180Sovereign CDS Volatility as an Indicator of Economic UncertaintyMaximilian Böck, Martin Feldkircher, Burkhard Raunig
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 178Contagious ZombiesChristian Bittner, Falko Fecht, Co-Pierre Georg
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 173An export supply channel of exchange ratesErik Frohm
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 172Central banks as bank supervisors: how does this double role affect their inflation outcomes?Vasco Gabriel, Ioannis Lazopoulos, Diana Lima
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 171Curb your enthusiasm: the aggregate short-run effects of a borrower-based measureJoana Passinhas, Daniel Abreu
Aug 2021Policy BriefNo 150Digital euro has potential in the NetherlandsMichiel Bijlsma, Carin van der Cruijsen, Nicole Jonker and Jelmer Reijerink
Jul 2021Policy BriefNo 124Global Financial Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the Global Business Cycle?Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo
Jun 2021Policy BriefNo 115Understanding the financial risks of nature loss: exploring policy options for financial authoritiesKatie Kedward, Josh Ryan-Collins, Hugues Chenet
Jun 2021Policy BriefNo 113The economics of interest rates and population growthJesse Edgerton
Jun 2021Policy NoteNo 246Integrated policy frameworks: The constraints of policy horizons and adjustment frequenciesClaudio Borio and Piti Disyatat
Jun 2021Policy BriefNo 102Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic modelsOlivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan
May 2021Policy BriefNo 91Low Interest Rates and the Distribution of Household DebtMarina Emiris, François Koulischer
May 2021Policy NoteNo 235Negative Interest Rate Policy – The Experience So FarLuis Brandao Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos, Gunes Kamber, Roland Meeks
Apr 2021Policy NoteNo 232The Macroeconomics of Covid-19 LeverageThéophile Jégard, Simon Ray
Apr 2021Policy BriefNo 75Europe: the shock of Covid-19 and the fear of accelerated zombificationHélène Baudchon, Louis Boisset, Guillaume Derrien, Kenza Charef
Apr 2021Policy NoteNo 231The challenges to the banking sector a year after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemicPablo Hernández de Cos
Mar 2021Policy BriefNo 54Are lower bank capital requirements an efficient policy tool for supporting credit to SMEs?Michel Dietsch, Henri Fraisse, Mathias Lé, Sandrine Lecarpentier
Jan 2021Policy NoteNo 218Interest rate-growth differentials on government debt: an empirical investigation for the euro areaCristina Checherita-Westphal and João Domingues Semeano
Dec 2020Policy BriefNo 40Could housing booms undermine productivity growth?Sebastian Doerr
Dec 2020Policy NoteNo 212Monetary policy effects when interest rates are negativeJoost Bats, Massimo Giuliodori, Aerdt Houben
Dec 2020Policy NoteNo 210On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default predictionAndres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo
Nov 2020Policy BriefNo 37In Support of Monetary Policy: Using the Countercyclical Capital Buffer to Avoid a Reversal Interest RateMatthieu Darracq Pariès, Christoffer Kok, Matthias Rottner
Nov 2020Policy NoteNo 207Surge in corporate insolvencies hitting German banksJan Schildbach
Oct 2020Policy NoteNo 202Policy revolutionElga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand
Oct 2020Policy NoteNo 199Macroeconomic stabilisation when nominal interest rates are constrained: A role for household inflation expectations?Geoff Kenny, Ioana Duca-Radu, Andreas Reuter
Jul 2020Policy NoteNo 183Retail Central Bank Digital Currencies: means of payment vs store of valueSantiago Fernández de Lis, Pablo Urbiola
Jul 2020Policy NoteNo 181A sensible fiscal policy for the sharp rise in government debtForrest Capie, Meyrick Chapman, Chris Marsh, Geoffrey Wood
Jun 2020Policy NoteNo 176Credit Guarantees in the COVID-19 crisis – Relevance and Economic ImpactJulien Brault, Simone Signore
May 2020Policy NoteNo 162How large is the coronavirus macro shock? Putting the near-term record-breaking shock in the long-term contextElga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand
Apr 2020Policy NoteNo 152European banks in the corona crisisJan Schildbach
Apr 2020Policy NoteNo 149A diverse monetary union creates invisible transfers that justify conditional solidarityEnrico Perotti and Oscar Soons
Mar 2020Policy NoteNo 139Capital Regulations and the Management of Credit Commitments during Crisis TimesPaul Pelzl, María Teresa Valderrama
Oct 2019Policy NoteNo 105Dealing with the next downturn: From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand
Aug 2019Policy NoteNo 92Beliefs and Portfolios: New Measurement and FactsStefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Stephen Utkus
Aug 2019Policy NoteNo 89Central banks still run money creationDaniel Daianu
Feb 2019Policy NoteNo 58Disintermediation and re-intermediation effects of the CSPPÓscar Arce, Ricardo Gimeno, Sergio Mayordomo
Mar 2018Policy NoteNo 28Credit conditions and corporate investment in EuropeLaurent Maurin, Rozalia Pal, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher
Feb 2018Policy NoteNo 27Euro area quantitative easing: Large volumes, small impact?Daniel Gros
Nov 2017Policy NoteNo 21Risk sharing in EMU: key insights from a literature reviewDemosthenes Ioannou, David Schäfer

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