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SUERF Policy Notes

In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
 


Date publishedSUERFIssueTitleAuthor(s)
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 736Banks’ credit forecasts excel at rank ordering but miss the evolution of lossesMartin Birn, Renzo Corrias, Christian Schmieder, Nikola Tarashev
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 719Should credit lines be regulated?Jose E. Gutierrez
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 718Policy Insights from ICT Trade: Exploring the Influence of Regulatory ConvergenceMahdi Ghodsi
Oct 2023Policy NoteNo 323What An Acceleration of Quantitative Tightening Could Mean For Eurozone BanksNicolas Charnay, Pierre Hollegien, Sylvain Broyer, Aude Guez
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 695Including Carbon Taxation Risk in Deutsche Bundesbank’s In-house Credit Assessment System (ICAS): An Empirical AnalysisJustus Grundmann, Laura Auria
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 687Fear The Walking Dead? Zombie Firms in the Euro Area and Their Effect on Healthy Firms’ Credit ConditionsLea Katharina Havemeister, Kristian Horn
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 683Can monetary policy ignore financial stability risks?Sulkhan Chavleishvili, Manfred Kremer, Frederik Lund-Thomsen
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 680US Monetary Policy Spillovers To Emerging Markets: The Role of Trade CreditMélina London, Maéva Silvestrini
Sep 2023Policy NoteNo 319Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policyPedro Duarte Neves
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 641Exploring the informational role of inflated credit ratingsAnna Bayona, Oana Peia, Razvan Vlahu
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 632When Do Credit Booms Become Troublesome?Eddie Gerba, Danilo Leiva-León, Johannes Poeschl
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 623Are firms credit constrained? Answers from a Swedish credit registryNiklas Amberg, Tor Jacobson, Vincenzo Quadrini, Anna Rogantini Picco
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 620Insights into Credit Loss Rates: A Global DatabaseLi Lian Ong, Christian Schmieder, Min Wei
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 617On the effectiveness of dividend restrictions as supervisory policy toolErnest Dautović, Leonardo Gambacorta, Alessio Reghezza
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 610Climate change risks and the energy and emission allowances market – An analysis based on EMIR dataMerel Vrolijk, Ellen van der Woerd, Elisabeth de Vogel
May 2023Policy BriefNo 587CBDC Policies in Open EconomiesMichael Kumhof, Marco Pinchetti, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Andrej Sokol
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 555Technology and Asset Liquidations: Evidence from Real Estate CollateralFrancesco Mazzola
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 551Who funds zombie firms: banks or non-banks?Saara Tuuli
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 546Bank lending to small firms: metamorphosis of a financing modelPaolo Finaldi Russo, Valentina Nigro, Sabrina Pastorelli
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 543How shocks to Chinese supply chains affect US and euro area manufacturingMakram Khalil, Marc-Daniel Weber
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 536Disruptions in global supply chains drive inflation in the euro areaDavid Finck, Peter Tillmann
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 534Modeling Semiconductor Export Restrictions and the US-China Trade ConflictMichael Funke, Adrian Wende
Jan 2023Policy BriefNo 513Gender diversity in bank boardrooms helps to combat climate changeLeonardo Gambacorta, Livia Pancotto, Alessio Reghezza, Martina Spaggiari
Jan 2023Policy BriefNo 502Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks’ Joint Probability of Default on the Financial CyclePaul Bochmann, Paul Hiebert, Yves Schüler, Miguel Segoviano
Dec 2022Policy NoteNo 294A modern credit guidance regime for the green transitionKatie Kedward, Daniela Gabor, Josh Ryan-Collins
Dec 2022Policy BriefNo 497European Small Business Finance Outlook: SMEs in between crisesHelmut Kraemer-Eis, Antonia Botsari, Salome Gvetadze, Frank Lang, Wouter Torfs
Dec 2022Policy BriefNo 484Monetary and macroprudential policy effectiveness and spilloversLuc Laeven, Angela Maddaloni, Caterina Mendicino
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 476Finance in Africa 2022: Navigating the financial landscape in turbulent timesColin Bermingham, Barbara Marchitto, Debora Revoltella
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 473The Impact of Natural Disasters on Banks’ Impairment Flow – Evidence from GermanyIliriana Shala, Benno Schumacher
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 462Disclosure of climate change risks in credit ratingsMiriam Breitenstein, Stefania Ciummo, Florian Walch
Oct 2022Policy BriefNo 454Augmented credit-to-GDP gap as a more reliable indicator for macroprudential policy decision-makingTihana Škrinjarić
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 422Job polarisation decreases the access to credit in Europe Michele Cantarella, Ilja Kristian Kavonius
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 420Smart or Smash? The Effect of Financial Sanctions on Trade in Goods and ServicesTibor Besedeš, Stefan Goldbach, Volker Nitsch
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 419Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 418The Kiel Trade Indicator – A real-time indicator for trade flowsWolfgang Lechthaler, Vincent Stamer
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 417Friendshoring: Who will benefit? Michael Every, Erik-Jan van Harn
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 410 Should we trust the credit decisions provided by machine learning models?Andrés Alonso, José Manuel Carbó
Aug 2022Policy BriefNo 389Digital Endowments and Comparative AdvantageDario Guarascio, Roman Stöllinger
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 387Climate Change-Related Regulatory Risks and Bank LendingIsabella Mueller, Eleonora Sfrappini
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 378Estimating Growth-at-Risk: Insights from a Structural Nonlinear ModelMatthias Rottner
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 355Japan’s Sovereign Rating in the Post-Pandemic Era: Quo Vadis?Jinho Choi, Alexander den Ruijter, Kimi Xu Jiang, Edmund Moshammer
Jun 2022Policy NoteNo 282Trade and Climate – The Disrupted NexusStefan P. Schleicher
Jun 2022Policy BriefNo 344Elections Hinder Firms’ Access to CreditFlorian Léon, Laurent Weill
May 2022Policy BriefNo 336Business resilience in the pandemic and beyond: Adaptation, innovation, financing and climate action from Eastern Europe to Central AsiaLuca Gattini, Rozália Pál, Helena Schweiger, Laura Valderrama
Apr 2022Policy NoteNo 274Stylised facts on debt and financial crisisPedro Duarte Neves
Apr 2022Policy BriefNo 309The low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit riskSante Carbone, Margherita Giuzio, Sujit Kapadia, Johannes Sebastian Krämer, Ken Nyholm, Katia Vozian
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 305Is There Financial Exclusion when Official Lenders Are Considered?María Bru Muñoz
Mar 2022Policy BriefNo 297Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action planAviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer
Feb 2022Policy BriefNo 279Brexit: Trade diversion due to trade policy uncertaintyEduardo Gutiérrez, Aitor Lacuesta, César Martín-Machuca
Jan 2022Policy BriefNo 261Firm financing and public liquidity measures during the pandemicIda Rommedahl Julin, Andreas Kuchler, Alexander Meldgaard Otte
Jan 2022Policy BriefNo 260Credit Constrained Firms and Government Subsidies: Evidence from a European Union ProgramTirupam Goel, Péter Lang, Eszter Balogh, Ádám Banai, Martin Stancsics, Előd Takáts, Álmos Telegdy
Dec 2021Policy BriefNo 252Determinants of the credit cycle: a flow analysis of the extensive marginVincenzo Cuciniello, Nicola di Iasio
Nov 2021Policy BriefNo 221External Costs of Freight Transport – Relevance and Implications of Internalisation at the European LevelElisabeth Christen, Bettina Meinhart, Franz Sinabell, Gerhard Streicher
Nov 2021Policy BriefNo 220Consumption and service sector key factors in the COVID-19 trade collapseHeli Simola
Nov 2021Policy BriefNo 214How do Loan-to-Value Caps Impact Bank Lending and Credit Spillover?Selva Bahar Baziki, Tanju Çapacıoğlu
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 211Technical barriers to trade play the most important role in trade of goods in information and communications technologyMahdi Ghodsi
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 187Can policy boost the international role of currencies? Lessons from international trade invoicingGeorgios Georgiadis, Helena Le Mezo, Arnaud Mehl, Cédric Tille
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 185The grocery trolley race in times of Covid-19. Evidence from ItalyEmanuela Ciapanna, Gabriele Rovigatti
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 180Sovereign CDS Volatility as an Indicator of Economic UncertaintyMaximilian Böck, Martin Feldkircher, Burkhard Raunig
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 179The relevance of trade policy: Evidence from the 19th centuryJacopo Timini
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 178Contagious ZombiesChristian Bittner, Falko Fecht, Co-Pierre Georg
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 173An export supply channel of exchange ratesErik Frohm
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 171Curb your enthusiasm: the aggregate short-run effects of a borrower-based measureJoana Passinhas, Daniel Abreu
Jun 2021Policy BriefNo 102Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic modelsOlivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan
May 2021Policy BriefNo 91Low Interest Rates and the Distribution of Household DebtMarina Emiris, François Koulischer
Apr 2021Policy NoteNo 232The Macroeconomics of Covid-19 LeverageThéophile Jégard, Simon Ray
Apr 2021Policy BriefNo 75Europe: the shock of Covid-19 and the fear of accelerated zombificationHélène Baudchon, Louis Boisset, Guillaume Derrien, Kenza Charef
Apr 2021Policy BriefNo 70The impact of Covid-19 on global value chainsHeli Simola
Apr 2021Policy NoteNo 231The challenges to the banking sector a year after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemicPablo Hernández de Cos
Mar 2021Policy BriefNo 60EU – US: Towards renewed transatlantic cooperation?Maartje Wijffelaars, Philip Marey
Mar 2021Policy BriefNo 54Are lower bank capital requirements an efficient policy tool for supporting credit to SMEs?Michel Dietsch, Henri Fraisse, Mathias Lé, Sandrine Lecarpentier
Feb 2021Policy BriefNo 47Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different?Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch, Swapan-Kumar Pradhan
Dec 2020Policy NoteNo 210On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default predictionAndres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo
Sep 2020Policy BriefNo 26Global value chains and the challenge of Covid-19Antoine Berthou, Juan Carluccio, Guillaume Gaulier
Jun 2020Policy NoteNo 176Credit Guarantees in the COVID-19 crisis – Relevance and Economic ImpactJulien Brault, Simone Signore
May 2020Policy NoteNo 167Services are the next – and fast approaching – frontier of global trade and financial services is a sector leading the wayRobert Koopman
May 2020Policy BriefNo 8The currency composition of foreign exchange reservesHiro Ito and Robert N McCauley
Mar 2020Policy NoteNo 139Capital Regulations and the Management of Credit Commitments during Crisis TimesPaul Pelzl, María Teresa Valderrama
Feb 2020Policy NoteNo 128Interests and alliancesKlaas Knot
Aug 2019Policy NoteNo 89Central banks still run money creationDaniel Daianu
Jul 2019Policy NoteNo 84Main findings from a survey on the long-term impact of Brexit on the UK and EU economiesPatrick Bisciari
Jun 2019Policy NoteNo 81Bilateral Trade Balances Under FocusFlorence Jaumotte
Jun 2019Policy NoteNo 76Chinese foreign investment: a dangerous obsession or a new normal? Get ready for the latter!Peter Havlik
May 2019Policy NoteNo 74The future of the UK services trade post-Brexit: unlikely to be brightOlga Pindyuk
May 2019Policy NoteNo 72Analysing the Economics of BREXIT and World TradeDavid T. Llewellyn
May 2019Policy NoteNo 71Rethinking the Trade-offs for Monetary Policy in an Era of GlobalizationEnrique Martínez-García
Feb 2019Policy NoteNo 58Disintermediation and re-intermediation effects of the CSPPÓscar Arce, Ricardo Gimeno, Sergio Mayordomo
Mar 2018Policy NoteNo 28Credit conditions and corporate investment in EuropeLaurent Maurin, Rozalia Pal, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher
Jan 2018Policy NoteNo 25The New Silk Road: Implications for EuropeStephan Barisitz, Alice Radzyner
Nov 2017Policy NoteNo 21Risk sharing in EMU: key insights from a literature reviewDemosthenes Ioannou, David Schäfer
May 2016Policy NoteNo 7Ten Myths in the Brexit DebateDavid T. Llewellyn

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