SUERF Policy Notes
In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
| Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 748 | Monetary policy rules: model uncertainty meets design limits | Alexander Dück, Fabio Verona |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 714 | What drives inflation? Disentangling demand and supply factors | Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 713 | The state-dependent impact of changes in bank capital requirements | Jan Hannes Lang, Dominik Menno |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 710 | Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro area | Stefano Neri, Fabio Busetti, Cristina Conflitti, Francesco Corsello, Davide Delle Monache, Alex Tagliabracci |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 694 | The external financial spillovers of CBDCs | Alessandro Moro, Valerio Nispi Landi |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 678 | Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach | Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier, Sebastian Stumpner |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 671 | An Analysis of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Slovenia and the Euro Area | Jan Radovan |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 661 | Forecasting banknote circulation during the COVID-19 pandemic using structural time series models | Nikolaus Bartzsch, Marco Brandi, Lucas Devigne, Raymond de Pastor, Gianluca Maddaloni, Diana Posada Restrepo, Gabriele Sene |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 650 | Leading indicators of financial stress: a regime switching approach | Tihana Škrinjarić |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 646 | CBDC and business cycle dynamics in a New Monetarist New Keynesian model | Katrin Assenmacher, Lea Bitter, Annukka Ristiniemi |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 633 | Gauging the macroeconomic effects of higher carbon prices | Günter Coenen, Matija Lozej, Romanos Priftis |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 631 | Impact of fiscal measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic on small-open economies: lessons from Slovenia | Filippo Arigoni, Miha Breznikar, Črt Lenarčič, Matjaž Maletič |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 624 | CCP initial margin models: A peek under the hood | Ismael Alexander Boudiaf, Martin Scheicher, Francesco Vacirca |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 600 | Navigating the Tightrope: Balancing Financial Stability and Inflation in the Age of Persistent Financial Cycles and Crises | Thore Kockerols, Erling Motzfeldt Kravik, Yasin Mimir |
| May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 589 | The environmental goods and services sector is the keystone of net zero: Let’s subsidize it! | Eric Jondeau, Grégory Levieuge, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Gauthier Vermandel |
| Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 575 | Labour market differences and monetary policy in the euro area | Sandra Gomes, Pascal Jacquinot, Matija Lozej |
| Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 544 | Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China | Alexander Al-Haschimi, Apostolos Apostolou, Andres Azqueta-Gavaldon, Martino Ricci |
| Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 521 | Can Machine Learning Methods Help Nowcast GDP? | Andreas Pick, Jasper de Winter |
| Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 517 | Stock Return Predictability: Comparing Macro- and Micro-Approaches | Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon |
| Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 516 | A scientific illusion in risk management? | José María Roldán |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 493 | Financial exposure and bank mergers - Micro and macro evidence from the EU | Laura Lebastard |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 489 | The impact of portfolio-based green monetary policy | Raphael Abiry, Marien Ferdinandusse, Alexander Ludwig, Carolin Nerlich |
| Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 479 | Strategic behaviours and the policy response to commodity price shocks | Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Maria Sole Pagliari |
| Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 436 | The double materiality of climate physical and transition risks in the euro area | Regis Gourdel, Irene Monasterolo, Nepo Dunz, Andrea Mazzocchetti, Laura Parisi |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Note | No 286 | The optimal quantity of CBDC in the euro area | Lorenzo Burlon, Carlos Montes-Galdón, Manuel A. Muñoz, Frank Smets |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 405 | Forgetting Approaches to Improve Forecasting: Executive Summary | Robert Hill, Paulo Rodrigues |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 399 | The effects of internationally coordinated carbon pricing on the economy and welfare | Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Alexander Mahle, Nikolai Stähler |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 394 | Flexibility in Asset Purchases: A Structural Analysis | James Costain, Galo Nuño, Carlos Thomas |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 356 | How much is too much? Assessing the non-linear relationship between debt and sovereign creditworthiness | Sanne Zwart |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 335 | Macroeconomic Implications and Differences of Oil and Gas Price Shocks | Thomas Zörner, Nico Petz |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 334 | The local presence of global banks | Iñaki Aldasoro, John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 333 | The effect of introducing a Loan-to-Value limit on homeownership | Cindy Biesenbeek, Mauro Mastrogiacomo, Rob Alessie, Jakob de Haan |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 326 | The impact of QE on sovereign risk | Dirk Broeders, Leo de Haan, Jan Willem van den End |
| Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 318 | How do carbon prices spillover along global production networks? | Ivan Frankovic |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 301 | Is the ECB applying lessons from the past? | Anselm Küsters |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 299 | When domestic and foreign QE overlap | Paola Di Casola, Pär Stockhammar |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 297 | Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action plan | Aviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 292 | The role of systemic risk spillovers in the transmission of Euro Area monetary policy | Alexandros Skouralis |
| Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 272 | Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies | Pablo Garcia, Pascal Jacquinot, Črt Lenarčič, Matija Lozej, Kostas Mavromatis |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 264 | Why disinflation can be more costly in a small open economy than in a closed economy | Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson, Nadiia Shapovalenko |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 262 | Choosing the European fiscal rule | Ginters Bušs, Patrick Grüning, Oļegs Tkačevs |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 245 | How to set Cyclical and Structural capital buffers via Stress tests? A Risk-to-Buffer approach | Cyril Couaillier, Valerio Scalone |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 242 | The Role of Contact Tracing in the Long Pandemic War | Leonardo Melosi, Matthias Rottner |
| Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 231 | A Multi-level Network Approach to Spillovers Analysis: An Application to the Maltese Domestic Investment Funds Sector | Francesco Meglioli, Stephanie Gauci |
| Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 221 | External Costs of Freight Transport – Relevance and Implications of Internalisation at the European Level | Elisabeth Christen, Bettina Meinhart, Franz Sinabell, Gerhard Streicher |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 181 | A liquidity risk early warning indicator for Italian banks: a machine learning approach | Maria Ludovica Drudi, Stefano Nobili |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 179 | The relevance of trade policy: Evidence from the 19th century | Jacopo Timini |
| Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 151 | No country is an island: International cooperation and climate change | Massimo Ferrari, Maria Sole Pagliari |
| Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 124 | Global Financial Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the Global Business Cycle? | Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 102 | Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic models | Olivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 98 | Detecting turning point in the Danish economy in real time – nowcasting in Danmarks Nationalbank during the covid-19 crisis | Jesper Pedersen |
| May 2021 | Policy Note | No 236 | Europe’s growth gap: reconciling Keynes and Schumpeter | François Villeroy de Galhau |
| Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 56 | On the Origin of Systemic Risk | Mattia Montagna, Giovanni Covi, Gabriele Torri |
| Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 54 | Are lower bank capital requirements an efficient policy tool for supporting credit to SMEs? | Michel Dietsch, Henri Fraisse, Mathias Lé, Sandrine Lecarpentier |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 47 | Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different? | Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch, Swapan-Kumar Pradhan |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 43 | Nowcasting world GDP growth with high-frequency data | Caroline Jardet, Baptiste Meunier |
| Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 210 | On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default prediction | Andres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo |
| Sep 2020 | Policy Brief | No 30 | Can we expect the economy to rebound rapidly? | Stéphane Dupraz |
| Feb 2020 | Policy Note | No 133 | Making sure your bot colleague is less biased than you! | Frank De Jonghe |
| Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
| Apr 2019 | Policy Note | No 68 | How to assess the adequacy of capital requirements based on internal models? | Susanne Roehrig |
| Dec 2018 | Policy Note | No 50 | Business models in prudential policies | Isabelle Vaillant, Marina Cernov |
| Dec 2018 | Policy Note | No 49 | Bank business models: time to act | Rudi Vander Vennet |
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