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SUERF Policy Notes

In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
 


Date publishedSUERFIssueTitleAuthor(s)
Dec 2023Policy BriefNo 757Have (excess) profits been shaping domestic price pressures in Austria?Friedrich Fritzer, Doris Prammer, Lukas Reiss, Martin Schneider
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 747Lessons from 100 inflation shocksAnil Ari, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Victor Mylonas, Lev Ratnovski, Wei Zhao
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 744Fiscal sources of inflation risk in EMDEs: the role of the external channelRyan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 737Underlying Inflation, Regime Shifts and Asymmetric RisksHervé Le Bihan, Danilo Leiva-León, Matías Pacce
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 731Monetary policy rules under bounded rationalityMichael Dobrew, Rafael Gerke, Daniel Kienzler, Alexander Schwemmer
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 730Inflation expectations in CESEE are shaped by the sentiment and experiences of individualsKatharina Allinger, Fabio Rumler
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 722High Debt Levels Can Impede Monetary PolicyLuis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos, Olamide Harrison, Gunes Kamber
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 720Forecasting euro area inflation with machine learning modelsMichele Lenza, Inés Moutachaker, Joan Paredes
Nov 2023Policy BriefNo 717The role of demand and supply factors during a period of high inflation – the case of IrelandThomas Conefrey, Darragh McLaughlin
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 712The Term Structure of Inflation Forecasts Disagreement and Monetary Policy TransmissionAlessandro Barbera, Dora Xia, Sonya Zhu
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 710Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro areaStefano Neri, Fabio Busetti, Cristina Conflitti, Francesco Corsello, Davide Delle Monache, Alex Tagliabracci
Oct 2023Policy BriefNo 698E-commerce and Price Setting: Evidence from EuropeGeorg Strasser, Elisabeth Wieland, Paweł Macias, Aneta Błażejowska, Karol Szafranek, David Wittekopf
Oct 2023Policy NoteNo 324Money and inflationIsabel Schnabel
Sep 2023Policy NoteNo 322Central Banks: Firefighters or Pyromaniacs in Recent Crises?Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 690Gauging price pressures in the euro area with the inflation compassNuno Lourenço, João Quelhas, António Rua
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 686The long-term effects of inflation on inflation expectationsFabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub, Michael Weber
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 679The current Polycrisis versus the Global Financial CrisisMarc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 677How does changing pricing behavior affect inflation? Evidence from Euro Area microdataJuhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren
Sep 2023Policy BriefNo 675How producer price changes transmit into final goods pricesEdvin Ahlander, Mikael Carlsson, Mathias Klein
Aug 2023Policy BriefNo 672Explaining the endurance of price level differences in the euro areaHuw Dixon, Pavlos Petroulas, Theodora Kosma
Aug 2023Policy BriefNo 668Fifty Shades of QE RevisitedMartin Weale, Tomasz Wieladek
Aug 2023Policy BriefNo 663The drivers of market-based inflation expectations in the euro area and in the USChristian Höynck, Luca Rossi
Aug 2023Policy BriefNo 651Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks on real oil pricesSzilard Benk, Max Gillman
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 643Consumer Savings Behaviour at Low and Negative Interest RatesMarco Felici, Geoff Kenny, Roberta Friz
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 642House price expectations and inflation expectations: Evidence from survey dataVedanta Dhamija, Ricardo Nunes, Roshni Tara
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 639Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro areaMartin Mandler, Michael Scharnagl
Jul 2023Policy NoteNo 314Has monetary policy changed for good? A retrospective on recent history and implications going forwardStefano Neri
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 6342020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replayMonica Defend, Vincent Mortier
Jul 2023Policy BriefNo 626Macroprudential policy in the high inflation environment: Sailing uncharted watersCarsten Detken, Ján Klacso, Reiner Martin
Jun 2023Policy BriefNo 616News or Animal Spirits? Consumer Confidence and Economic Activity: ReduxSangyup Choi, Jaehun Jeong, Dohyeon Park, Donghoon Yoo
Jun 2023Policy NoteNo 313Monetary and financial stability – can they be separated?Isabel Schnabel
May 2023Policy BriefNo 598Do hawks sit on stronger branches? Central banks’ equity and policy reactionsMarcel Barmeier, André Casalis
May 2023Policy BriefNo 593How often and how much do food prices change during periods of high inflation – an analysis of online prices in AustriaChristian Beer, Robert Ferstl, Bernhard Graf, Fabio Rumler
May 2023Policy BriefNo 584Euro Area inflation differentials: the role of fiscal policies revisitedCristina Checherita-Westphal, Nadine Leiner-Killinger, Teresa Schildmann
May 2023Policy BriefNo 582Critical metals for the low-carbon transition: macro-financial issuesStéphane Dees, Simon Dikau, Hugh Miller, Romain Svartzman
May 2023Policy BriefNo 581On the Macroeconomic Effects of Reinvestments in Asset Purchase ProgrammesRafael Gerke, Daniel Kienzler, Alexander Scheer
May 2023Policy NoteNo 310Monetary and fiscal policies as anchors of trust and stabilityAgustín Carstens
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 576Monetary policy and the drifting natural rate of interestSandra Daudignon, Oreste Tristani
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 571Has the euro changeover really caused extra inflation in Croatia?Matteo Falagiarda, Christine Gartner, Ivan Mužić, Andreja Pufnik
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 565Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply ConstraintsAlmut Balleer, Marvin Noeller
Apr 2023Policy NoteNo 308Supply mattersAndrew Bailey
Apr 2023Policy BriefNo 559Will the Green Transition Be Inflationary? Expectations MatterAlessandro Ferrari, Valerio Nispi Landi
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 550Lower for longer under Endogenous Technology GrowthMichaela Elfsbacka Schmöller, Martin Spitzer
Mar 2023Policy BriefNo 547Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approachCarlos Montes-Galdón, Joan Paredes, Elias Wolf
Mar 2023Policy NoteNo 304Should central banks raise inflation targets?Ernest Gnan, Robert Holzmann
Feb 2023Policy BriefNo 524Highly Dispersed inflation rates challenge the ECB’s monetary policy strategyThomas Url
Jan 2023Policy BriefNo 512Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer PricesBarbara Rudolf, Pascal Seiler
Dec 2022Policy BriefNo 482Shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro AreaNektarios A. Michail, Konstantinos D. Melas, Lena T. Cleanthous
Nov 2022Policy BriefNo 470What micro price data teach us about the inflation process: web-scraping in PRISMAChiara Osbat
Oct 2022Policy BriefNo 445Fiscal deficits and inflation risks: the role of fiscal and monetary policy regimesRyan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 431Consumer Inflation Expectations and Regional Price ChangesTomasz Łyziak, Michael Pedersen, Ewa Stanisławska
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 419Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren
Sep 2022Policy BriefNo 411Subjective Expectations and UncertaintyAndrzej Kocięcki, Tomasz Łyziak, Ewa Stanisławska
Aug 2022Policy BriefNo 403What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data?Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith
Aug 2022Policy BriefNo 391Why is Swiss inflation low?GianLuigi Mandruzzato
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 382What Should the Inflation Target Be? Views from 600 EconomistsGene Ambrocio, Andrea Ferrero, Esa Jokivuolle, Kim Ristolainen
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 376Climate change and inflation in the euro areaChristiane Nickel
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 370Too little too late: ECB’s normalisation path was model- rather than data-drivenDaniel Gros, Farzaneh Shamsfakhr
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 368Inflation Expectations and Climate ConcernChristoph Meinerding, Andrea Poinelli, Yves Schüler
Jul 2022Policy BriefNo 366Firm-level expectations and macroeconomic conditions: underpinnings and disagreementMonique Reid, Pierre Siklos
May 2022Policy BriefNo 337Does it matter that households disagree about inflation?Alistair Macaulay
Apr 2022Policy BriefNo 323Is Super-Active Fiscal Policy Desirable?Roberto M. Billi, Carl E. Walsh
Apr 2022Policy NoteNo 273The return of inflationAgustín Carstens
Mar 2022Policy NoteNo 270Will the supply-driven oil price shock unanchor inflation expectations?Matthew Luzzetti, Brett Ryan, Justin Weidner, Amy Yang
Feb 2022Policy BriefNo 271Including inflation expectations helps to improve inflation forecasts of econometric modelsMarta Bańbura, Danilo Leiva-León, Jan-Oliver Menz
Oct 2021Policy BriefNo 208Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic PolicyFrancesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Maritta Paloviita, Michael Weber
Sep 2021Policy BriefNo 189How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics in Turkey?Hülya Saygılı
Sep 2021Policy NoteNo 254Fiscal-Monetary Crosswinds in the Euro AreaLucrezia Reichlin, Giovanni Ricco, Matthieu Tarbé
Jul 2021Policy BriefNo 141Some warning signals about average inflation targetingSeppo Honkapohja, Nigel McClung
Jul 2021Policy BriefNo 136What does “below, but close to, two per cent” mean? Assessing the ECB’s reaction function with real time dataMaritta Paloviita, Markus Haavio, Pirkka Jalasjoki, Juha Kilponen
Jun 2021Policy BriefNo 105Monetary policy space and monetary policy strategies for the euro areaMarkus Haavio, Olli-Matti Laine
Jun 2021Policy NoteNo 244External Vulnerabilities and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Emerging MarketsAbdullah Kazdal, Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz
Dec 2020Policy NoteNo 211Preparing for a higher inflation regimeElga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand
Oct 2020Policy NoteNo 199Macroeconomic stabilisation when nominal interest rates are constrained: A role for household inflation expectations?Geoff Kenny, Ioana Duca-Radu, Andreas Reuter
May 2020Policy NoteNo 170International inflation co-movementsPhilip R. Lane
May 2020Policy NoteNo 164Can we compare the COVID-19 and 2008 crises?Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn
May 2020Policy NoteNo 161Shh, don’t say it! ECB Helicopter Money: Economics and PoliticsDonato Masciandaro
Jan 2020Policy NoteNo 121The quest for policy scope: Implications for monetary policy strategiesKlaas Knot
Dec 2019Policy NoteNo 119Central bank independence and inflationRyszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak
Nov 2019Policy NoteNo 112Inflation In The Eurozone Is Dead. Long Live (The Right Kind Of) InflationSylvain Broyer
May 2019Policy NoteNo 71Rethinking the Trade-offs for Monetary Policy in an Era of GlobalizationEnrique Martínez-García
May 2018Policy NoteNo 33Populism and Central Bank IndependenceDonato Masciandaro, Francesco Passarelli
Dec 2016Policy NoteNo 9Two turbulent centuries: Lessons from Austria’s monetary policy, 1816-2016Ernest Gnan, Clemens Jobst
Apr 2016Policy NoteNo 5Some seeming paradoxes or interesting points of Russia’s economy and banking sectorStephan Barisitz
Feb 2016Policy NoteNo 4Gender diversity and monetary policyDonato Masciandaro, Paola Profeta, Davide Romelli
Sep 2015Policy NoteNo 1What is money and who says so?Peter R. Fisher

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