In September 2015, SUERF launched the SUERF Policy Notes series with focus on current financial, monetary or economic issues, designed for policy makers and financial practitioners, authored by renowned experts.
Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 544 | Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China | Alexander Al-Haschimi, Apostolos Apostolou, Andres Azqueta-Gavaldon, Martino Ricci |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 521 | Can Machine Learning Methods Help Nowcast GDP? | Andreas Pick, Jasper de Winter |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 517 | Stock Return Predictability: Comparing Macro- and Micro-Approaches | Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 516 | A scientific illusion in risk management? | José María Roldán |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 502 | Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks’ Joint Probability of Default on the Financial Cycle | Paul Bochmann, Paul Hiebert, Yves Schüler, Miguel Segoviano |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 497 | European Small Business Finance Outlook: SMEs in between crises | Helmut Kraemer-Eis, Antonia Botsari, Salome Gvetadze, Frank Lang, Wouter Torfs |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 493 | Financial exposure and bank mergers - Micro and macro evidence from the EU | Laura Lebastard |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 489 | The impact of portfolio-based green monetary policy | Raphael Abiry, Marien Ferdinandusse, Alexander Ludwig, Carolin Nerlich |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 479 | Strategic behaviours and the policy response to commodity price shocks | Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Maria Sole Pagliari |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 463 | Country Characteristics and Institutions as Significant Factor in Global Value Chain Integration | Mojca Lindič |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 436 | The double materiality of climate physical and transition risks in the euro area | Regis Gourdel, Irene Monasterolo, Nepo Dunz, Andrea Mazzocchetti, Laura Parisi |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 419 | Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Aug 2022 | Policy Note | No 286 | The optimal quantity of CBDC in the euro area | Lorenzo Burlon, Carlos Montes-Galdón, Manuel A. Muñoz, Frank Smets |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 405 | Forgetting Approaches to Improve Forecasting: Executive Summary | Robert Hill, Paulo Rodrigues |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 399 | The effects of internationally coordinated carbon pricing on the economy and welfare | Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Alexander Mahle, Nikolai Stähler |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 394 | Flexibility in Asset Purchases: A Structural Analysis | James Costain, Galo Nuño, Carlos Thomas |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 361 | The influence of financial corporations on IMF lending: Has it changed with the global financial crisis? | Lena Lee Andresen |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 356 | How much is too much? Assessing the non-linear relationship between debt and sovereign creditworthiness | Sanne Zwart |
Jun 2022 | Policy Note | No 282 | Trade and Climate – The Disrupted Nexus | Stefan P. Schleicher |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 343 | Cybersecurity and financial stability | Kartik Anand, Chanelle Duley, Prasanna Gai |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 335 | Macroeconomic Implications and Differences of Oil and Gas Price Shocks | Thomas Zörner, Nico Petz |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 334 | The local presence of global banks | Iñaki Aldasoro, John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 333 | The effect of introducing a Loan-to-Value limit on homeownership | Cindy Biesenbeek, Mauro Mastrogiacomo, Rob Alessie, Jakob de Haan |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 326 | The impact of QE on sovereign risk | Dirk Broeders, Leo de Haan, Jan Willem van den End |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 320 | Global Banking, Regulatory Spillovers, and the Benefits of Macroprudential Policy Coordination | Pierre-Richard Agénor, Timothy P Jackson, Luiz A Pereira da Silva |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 318 | How do carbon prices spillover along global production networks? | Ivan Frankovic |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 301 | Is the ECB applying lessons from the past? | Anselm Küsters |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 299 | When domestic and foreign QE overlap | Paola Di Casola, Pär Stockhammar |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 297 | Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action plan | Aviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 292 | The role of systemic risk spillovers in the transmission of Euro Area monetary policy | Alexandros Skouralis |
Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 268 | Crisis-tested Europe – Solidarity with Ukraine spurs European identity | Heinz Handler |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 280 | Are complex banking groups riskier? | Isabel Argimón, María Rodríguez-Moreno |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 272 | Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies | Pablo Garcia, Pascal Jacquinot, Črt Lenarčič, Matija Lozej, Kostas Mavromatis |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 271 | Including inflation expectations helps to improve inflation forecasts of econometric models | Marta Bańbura, Danilo Leiva-León, Jan-Oliver Menz |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 264 | Why disinflation can be more costly in a small open economy than in a closed economy | Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson, Nadiia Shapovalenko |
Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 245 | How to set Cyclical and Structural capital buffers via Stress tests? A Risk-to-Buffer approach | Cyril Couaillier, Valerio Scalone |
Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 242 | The Role of Contact Tracing in the Long Pandemic War | Leonardo Melosi, Matthias Rottner |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 235 | Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies | Maria Sole Pagliari |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 231 | A Multi-level Network Approach to Spillovers Analysis: An Application to the Maltese Domestic Investment Funds Sector | Francesco Meglioli, Stephanie Gauci |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 226 | Benefits of internationalisation for acquirers and targets – but unevenly distributed | Rainer Frey, Stefan Goldbach |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 225 | Population aging and the persistence of three key global trends | Andrea Papetti |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 221 | External Costs of Freight Transport – Relevance and Implications of Internalisation at the European Level | Elisabeth Christen, Bettina Meinhart, Franz Sinabell, Gerhard Streicher |
Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 220 | Consumption and service sector key factors in the COVID-19 trade collapse | Heli Simola |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 201 | Basel III implementation in the European Union | Pablo Hernández de Cos |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 199 | The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE | Markus Eller, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Helene Schuberth, Lukas Vashold |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 198 | Why did the pass-through from labor cost to price inflation decline in the US? | Elena Bobeica, Matteo Ciccarelli, Isabel Vansteenkiste |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 193 | The effect of Eurosystem asset purchase programmes on euro area sovereign bond yields during the COVID-19 pandemic | George Hondroyiannis, Dimitrios Papaoikonomou |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 189 | How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics in Turkey? | Hülya Saygılı |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 181 | A liquidity risk early warning indicator for Italian banks: a machine learning approach | Maria Ludovica Drudi, Stefano Nobili |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 179 | The relevance of trade policy: Evidence from the 19th century | Jacopo Timini |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 156 | More aware societies suffered less from Covid-19 | Alejandro Buesa, Javier J. Pérez, Daniel Santabárbara |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 151 | No country is an island: International cooperation and climate change | Massimo Ferrari, Maria Sole Pagliari |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 138 | Three questions on the outlook for banking | Carolyn Rogers |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 129 | Nearshoring Perspectives after COVID-19: Can Western Balkans Benefit? | Branimir Jovanovic, Mahdi Ghodsi |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 124 | Global Financial Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the Global Business Cycle? | Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 111 | A rising core lifts all baskets | Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton, Michael S Hanson |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 110 | Global vulnerabilities to the COVID-19 variant B.1.617.2 | David Mackie |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 104 | The Economic Case for Global Vaccinations: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks | Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Sevcan Yeşiltaş, Muhammed A. Yıldırım |
Jun 2021 | Policy Note | No 244 | External Vulnerabilities and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Emerging Markets | Abdullah Kazdal, Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 102 | Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic models | Olivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 100 | Shocks to bank capital as a driver of lending standards to corporates. What can macroprudential policy learn from bank lending surveys? | Ewa Wróbel |
May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 98 | Detecting turning point in the Danish economy in real time – nowcasting in Danmarks Nationalbank during the covid-19 crisis | Jesper Pedersen |
May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 87 | Banking regulation and the benefits of international cooperation – views from a banking supervisor | Joachim Wuermeling |
May 2021 | Policy Note | No 236 | Europe’s growth gap: reconciling Keynes and Schumpeter | François Villeroy de Galhau |
Apr 2021 | Policy Brief | No 70 | The impact of Covid-19 on global value chains | Heli Simola |
Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 56 | On the Origin of Systemic Risk | Mattia Montagna, Giovanni Covi, Gabriele Torri |
Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 54 | Are lower bank capital requirements an efficient policy tool for supporting credit to SMEs? | Michel Dietsch, Henri Fraisse, Mathias Lé, Sandrine Lecarpentier |
Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 49 | Should developed economies manage international capital flows? An empirical and welfare analysis | Dennis Bonam, Gavin Goy, Emmanuel de Veirman |
Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 47 | Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different? | Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch, Swapan-Kumar Pradhan |
Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 43 | Nowcasting world GDP growth with high-frequency data | Caroline Jardet, Baptiste Meunier |
Jan 2021 | Policy Brief | No 41 | Is inflation dead or hibernating? | Claudio Borio |
Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 211 | Preparing for a higher inflation regime | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand |
Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 210 | On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default prediction | Andres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo |
Nov 2020 | Policy Note | No 208 | The world economy under Covid-19: Can emerging market economies keep the engine running? | Kristel Buysse, Dennis Essers |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 197 | The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival | C.A.E. Goodhart, Manoj Pradhan |
Sep 2020 | Policy Brief | No 30 | Can we expect the economy to rebound rapidly? | Stéphane Dupraz |
Sep 2020 | Policy Brief | No 26 | Global value chains and the challenge of Covid-19 | Antoine Berthou, Juan Carluccio, Guillaume Gaulier |
Sep 2020 | Policy Note | No 193 | Inclusive payments for the post-pandemic world | Raphael Auer, Jon Frost, Thomas Lammer, Tara Rice, Amber Wadsworth |
Jul 2020 | Policy Note | No 185 | The Macroeconomic Impact of NPLs in Euro Area Countries | Ivan Huljak, Reiner Martin, Diego Moccero, Cosimo Pancaro |
Jun 2020 | Policy Note | No 178 | Covalization: Europe on the Rack Between Globalization and Covid - A Historian’s Perspective on the European Union: Europe and Globalization | Harold James |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 171 | US dollar funding markets during the Covid-19 crisis – the international dimension | Egemen Eren, Andreas Schrimpf, Vladyslav Sushko |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 170 | International inflation co-movements | Philip R. Lane |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 167 | Services are the next – and fast approaching – frontier of global trade and financial services is a sector leading the way | Robert Koopman |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 164 | Can we compare the COVID-19 and 2008 crises? | Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn |
Apr 2020 | Policy Brief | No 2 | Politics and Economics of Global Currencies | Paul De Grauwe |
Apr 2020 | Policy Note | No 156 | Navigation tools in the semi-normal corona era | Andy Langenkamp |
Apr 2020 | Policy Note | No 148 | Reflections on the health and financial crisis | Jacques de Larosière |
Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 140 | The Paradox of Endogenous Nationalism and the Role of Quantitative Easing | Massimo Morelli |
Feb 2020 | Policy Note | No 133 | Making sure your bot colleague is less biased than you! | Frank De Jonghe |
Jan 2020 | Policy Note | No 122 | TCFD: strengthening the foundations of sustainable finance | Mark Carney |
Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 114 | Central Banking in challenging times | Claudio Borio |
Oct 2019 | Policy Note | No 108 | Libra – a view from Europe | Heike Mai |
Sep 2019 | Policy Note | No 99 | The euro’s global role: past, present and future | Arnaud Mehl |
Jun 2019 | Policy Note | No 81 | Bilateral Trade Balances Under Focus | Florence Jaumotte |
May 2019 | Policy Note | No 71 | Rethinking the Trade-offs for Monetary Policy in an Era of Globalization | Enrique Martínez-García |
Apr 2019 | Policy Note | No 68 | How to assess the adequacy of capital requirements based on internal models? | Susanne Roehrig |
Jan 2019 | Policy Note | No 53 | The output cost of the global financial crisis: A reappraisal after ten years | David Turner, Patrice Ollivaud |
Dec 2018 | Policy Note | No 50 | Business models in prudential policies | Isabelle Vaillant, Marina Cernov |
Dec 2018 | Policy Note | No 49 | Bank business models: time to act | Rudi Vander Vennet |
May 2017 | Policy Note | No 12 | (No) worries about the new shape of international capital flows | Matthieu Bussiére, Julia Schmidt, Natacha Valla |