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Mutual funds’ loyalty helped to stabilize ESG stocks during the COVID-19 market crash

Author(s): Rui Albuquerque, Yrjo Koskinen, Raffaele Santioni

Date published: Dec 2021

SUERF Policy Brief, No 241

by Rui Albuquerque (Boston College),
Yrjo Koskinen (University of Calgary) and
Raffaele Santioni (Bank of Italy)1


Keywords: Environmental and social responsibility, institutional investors, fund flows, trading horizon, COVID-19, stock market crash, investor loyalty.

Download: SUERF Policy Brief, No 241SUERF Policy Brief, No 241 (0.5 MB)


This policy brief studies the trading behaviour of U.S. actively managed equity mutual funds during the COVID-19 market crash. It finds that Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) oriented funds helped to stabilize the market, but non-ESG funds also provided support for ESG stocks. All funds experiencing inflows increased their net purchases, but this behaviour was stronger for ESG funds. Non-ESG funds experiencing outflows increased their net sales, but this was limited to their holdings of non-ESG stocks.


Covid-19 pandemic resulted in a sudden stock market crash, unrelated to underlying economic conditions. Stock prices declined on average by close to 30 percent during the crash, but performance varied significantly across firms. Stocks with high Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) ratings performed better in February and March, 2020, with higher returns and lower volatility, relative to non-ESG stocks (Albuquerque, Koskinen, Yang, and Zhang 2020a, 2020b; Ding, Levine, Lin, and Xie 2020; Garel and Petit-Romec 2021). In addition, ESG-oriented actively managed mutual funds experienced fund inflows during the crisis period whereas other funds manifested increases in fund outflows (Pastor and Vorsatz 2020).

In Albuquerque, Koskinen and Santioni (2021), we connect these two streams of evidence by asking if the trading behaviour actively managed equity mutual funds contributed to the observed resiliency of ESG stocks during the crash. Recent evidence suggests that ESG fund investors are more loyal than other investors as they demonstrate less sensitivity to fund performance (Bollen 2007; Renneboog, Ter Horst, and Zhang 2008). Ergo, we postulate that this behaviour facilitates ESG-oriented fund managers to weather storms by avoiding fire sales and displaying loyalty towards their portfolio stocks.


Our empirical approach

To test this hypothesis, we use the heterogeneity in fund flows into ESG and non-ESG actively managed U.S. equity mutual funds during the stock market crash of 2020. ESG funds generally experienced an increase in net flows during this period (Figure 1), except in March. In contrast, non-ESG funds experienced a pronounced decline in net flows through the whole period, especially starting in March. The exogenous crash that occurred in February and March 2020 is an ideal event where we can test for the loyalty of ESG and non-ESG mutual funds to ESG stocks and to non-ESG stocks.

 

Figure 1. Fund flows and sustainability rating
(as a percentage of Total Net Asset)

 width=
Notes: Morningstar Direct. This figure plots aggregate cumulative net fund flows from January 1 to June 30, 2020, using monthly fund flows, for two fund categories, those that receive by Morningstar 4 or 5 Globes (ESG funds) and those with less than 4 Globes (non-ESG funds).


In carrying out the analysis, we use a similar empirical model to that of Cella, Ellul, and Giannetti (2013) to study the trading behaviour of U.S. actively managed equity mutual funds during the first six months in 2020, paying special attention to the market crash months of February and March. Our main data source is a proprietary granular data set from Morningstar with portfolio holdings collected at the monthly frequency, instead of the commonly used, and publicly available quarterly data. The use of monthly data allows us to identify February and March of 2020 as the stock market crash months, as opposed to the first quarter, which would be the case if we were limited to using quarterly data.

In our econometric analysis, fund-level net sales are a function of funds’ ESG-orientation, flows and fund size, a stock market crash dummy, as well as aggregate stock market returns and volatility. Fund-level ESG orientation is measured by different metrics provided by Morningstar. We denote as ESG funds those that report being ESG funds in their prospectus. In addition, ESG funds are those with 4 or 5 Morningstar Sustainability Globe ratings as of January 2020. As a third definition, ESG funds are those that receive a Low Carbon Designation from Morningstar as of January 2020. The main variables in our panel regressions are fund inflows and outflows obtained by separating funds based on whether they experienced relatively more gross inflows or more gross outflows. Figure 2 shows that ‘Inflows’ took a hit in February for both ESG and non-ESG funds, but especially for non-ESG funds. ‘Inflows’ recovered quickly by March, whereas ‘Outflows’ were slower to respond, plummeting in March. Furthermore, the figure shows that the funds experiencing ‘Outflows’ have double the total net assets compared to funds encountering ‘Inflows’, which is consistent with a declining industry trend. Note also that non-ESG funds are mostly responsible for this phenomenon.


Figure 2.
Fund inflows and outflows and sustainability rating
(as a percentage of Total Net Asset)

(a) Inflows
 width=

(b) Outflows
 width=

Notes: Morningstar Direct. Panel A (Panel B) plots the weighted average of monthly Inflows (Outflows), weighted by lagged fund total net assets, from January 1 to June 30, 2020, for two categories of funds, those that receive by Morningstar 4 or 5 Globes (ESG funds) and those with less than 4 Globes (non-ESG funds). Inflows is equal to fund flow in month t divided by net assets under management in month t–1 if positive, otherwise zero. Outflows is equal to the absolute value of fund flow in month t divided by net assets under management in month t–1 if negative, otherwise zero.


ESG funds buy more aggressively

Our first set of estimates show that, not surprisingly, fund flows are major determinants of net sales. Second, ESG funds reduced net sales during the crash. Third, the mitigating effect of inflows on net sales is always in place and it is more pronounced for ESG-funds compared to non-ESG funds, whether in the crash period or not. Overall, ESG funds buy more aggressively in response to inflows. Fourth, there is no difference in behaviour between ESG-oriented and other funds in response to outflows: outflows increased net sales for both ESG-oriented and other funds, whether in the crash period or not.

Our initial hypothesis assumes that funds trade their portfolio stocks in a uniform fashion, whether they are ESG or non-ESG funds. However, examining stock level holdings is important since we know that both ESG-oriented and other funds hold both ES and non-ES stocks in their portfolios. Ultimately, we are interested in uncovering the reason for why ES stocks exhibited resiliency during the crash. Fund managers’ portfolio allocation decisions may have contributed to the observed ES stock resiliency, in addition to mutual fund investor behaviour. We therefore study the portfolio stocks that funds chose to trade during the stock market crash by splitting each fund’s portfolio into ES stocks and non-ES stocks. In order to do so, we retrieved firm specific environmental and social scores in 2019 from Thomson Reuters’ Refinitiv, omitting the ‘G’ component as is commonly done in the literature (e.g. Albuquerque, Koskinen, and Zhang 2019).


Portfolios are tilted towards ESG stocks

We have two main findings. First, we find no difference in net sales for ESG and non-ESG funds toward ES versus non-ES stocks in response to fund inflows. Since we know from prior research (Pastor and Vorsatz 2020) that during the crash ESG-oriented funds were the ones that experienced inflows, we conclude that inflows to ESG-funds are a major reason why ES-stocks exhibited resiliency during the crash months of February and March. Second, while there is no difference in behaviour between ESG funds and other funds in response to outflows in terms of their aggregate net sales as indicated above, we find that funds’ behaviour displays significant heterogeneity toward ES and non-ES stocks. In particular, sensitivity of net sales to fund outflows increased during the crash for non-ES stocks for all fund types, but most remarkably, this does not hold for ES stocks. The sensitivity of net sales to outflows for ES stocks remained largely unchanged in the crash period for ESG-oriented and other funds. Recall that non-ESG funds were the ones that mostly experienced outflows. This implies that non-ESG funds contributed significantly to the observed resiliency of ES stocks. In related literature, Glossner, Matos, Ramelli, and Wagner (2021) find that institutional investors favoured stock with low debt and high cash balances during the COVID-19 market crash, but not stocks with better ES performance. This last result contrasts with what we find. The difference, we believe, is due to the more granular monthly holdings data that we have access to, but more research is needed to identify the disparities. Using monthly data in contrast to quarterly data is important given the significant monthly variations in fund flows observed in the first quarter of 2020.


References

Albuquerque, R., Y. Koskinen, S. Yang, and C. Zhang (2020a). “Love in the time of Covid-19: The resiliency of environmental and social stocks,” CEPR Covid Economics, 11, 35-56.

Albuquerque, R., Y. Koskinen, S. Yang, and C. Zhang (2020b). “Resiliency of environmental and social stocks: An analysis of the exogenous Covid-19 market crash,” Review of Corporate Finance Studies, 9, 593-621.

Albuquerque, R., Y. Koskinen, and R. Santioni (2021). “Mutual fund loyalty and ESG stock resilience during the COVID-19 stock market crash,” European Corporate Governance Institute, Finance Working Paper No. 782/2021, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3908464 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3908464

Bollen, N. P. B. (2007). “Mutual fund attributes and investor behavior,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 42, 683–708.

Cella, C., A. Ellul, and M. Giannetti (2013). “Investors’ horizons and the amplification of market shocks,” Review of Financial Studies, 26, 1607–1648.

Ding, W., R. Levine, C. Lin, and W. Xie (2020). “Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic,” Journal of Financial Economics, 141, 802–830.

Garel, A. and A. Petit-Romec (2021). “Investor rewards to environmental responsibility in the COVID-19 crisis,” Journal of Corporate Finance, 68, 101948.

Glossner, S., P. P. Matos, S. Ramelli, and A. F. Wagner (2021). “Do institutional investors stabilize equity markets in crisis periods? Evidence from Covid-19,” CEPR Discussion Paper 15070.

Pastor, L. and M. B. Vorsatz, (2020). “Mutual fund performance and flows during the Covid-19 crisis,” Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 10, 791–833.

Renneboog, L., J. Ter Horst, and C. Zhang (2008). “Socially responsible investments: Institutional aspects, performance, and investor behavior,” Journal of Banking and Finance, 32, 1723–1742.

 

About the authors

Rui Albuquerque is the Seidner Family Faculty Fellow Professor of Finance at Boston College, Carroll School of Management. He is a Research Fellow at the Center for Economic and Policy Research and a Research Associate at the European Corporate Governance Institute. Professor Albuquerque has teaching and research interests in Capital Markets, International Finance, Corporate Social Responsibility, and Governance. His research has been published in top economics and finance journals. His research received several awards including the 2008 Smith Breeden Distinguished Paper Prize by the Journal of Finance and the 2008 and 2013 Finance Prize by ECGI. He received the European Central Bank’s Lamfalussy Fellowship in 2003. He is also the recipient of several research grants. He has been invited to be the keynote speaker at several academic conferences. He is currently an associate editor to the Journal of Corporate Finance, the Journal of Banking and Finance, and the Portuguese Economic Journal. He has held teaching positions at Boston University, the University of Rochester, and the Portuguese Catholic University, and visited the University of Amsterdam and the Kellogg School of Management. He has consulted for the Centre of Applied Studies of the Portuguese Catholic University and the World Bank and consults regularly with the Bank of Portugal. He is currently working on the design of financial sustainability for Jesuit Refugee Services and he is engaged with NCBA CLUSA studying value chains of agricultural products in Mozambique. He maintains a blog on economic research on the Portuguese economy. He holds a PhD from the University of Rochester.

Yrjo Koskinen is the Associate Dean of Research and Business Impact and BMO Professor of Sustainable and Transition Finance at the Haskayne School of Business, University of Calgary. He has also served on the faculties of Stockholm School of Economics, Boston University’s Questrom School of Business, and the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He holds an MSc degree in Economics from the University of Helsinki, and a PhD in Management (Finance) from INSEAD. Prior to his academic career, Yrjo worked as a financial journalist and as an economist at the Bank of Finland. Yrjo currently serves on the advisory board of the Institute of Sustainable Finance at Queen’s University, the steering committee for the Canadian Sustainable Finance Network, and the academic advisory panel for Globe and Mail’s Report on Business. He is also a fellow at the Nordic Initiative in Corporate Economics and a research member at the European Corporate Governance Institute. In addition, he is an associate editor for the Journal of Financial Stability. Yrjo’s main research areas are sustainable finance, and corporate finance and governance. His current research focuses on environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues and their impact on firm performance and risk, and the effects of limited liability on corporations. His research has been published in the leading finance and management journals. He is the recipient of the Standard Life Investments Finance Prize for his research on corporate social responsibility and firm risk.

Raffaele Santioni is an Economist at the Bank of Italy. He holds a PhD in Statistics from University of Rome La Sapienza and a BA in Economics from University of Rome Tor Vergata. In 2017, he spent one year as Visiting Scholar at Boston College (USA). His research interests are in banking and applied economics. His most recent publications are “Internal Capital Markets in Times of Crisis: The Benefit of Group Affiliation”, with F. Schiantarelli and P. E. Strahan, Review of Finance, 2020; “Purchases of sovereign debt securities by banks during the crisis: The role of balance sheet conditions”, with M. Affinito and G. Albareto, Journal of Banking and Finance, 2019.

1.     This policy brief is based on Albuquerque, Koskinen and Santioni (2021). The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the institutions with which they are affiliated.

SUERF Policy Briefs (SPBs) serve to promote SUERF Members’ economic views and research findings as well as economic policy-oriented analyses. They address topical issues and propose solutions to current economic and financial challenges. SPBs serve to increase the international visibility of SUERF Members’ analyses and research. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the institution(s) with which the author(s) is/are affiliated.

Editorial Board: Ernest Gnan, Frank Lierman, David T. Llewellyn, Donato Masciandaro, Natacha Valla.

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