Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 744 | Fiscal sources of inflation risk in EMDEs: the role of the external channel | Ryan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 743 | Impact assessment of high inflation on Greek public finances. Does the type of inflation matter? Evidence from a highly indebted country | Sophia Lazaretou, George Palaiodimos |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 737 | Underlying Inflation, Regime Shifts and Asymmetric Risks | Hervé Le Bihan, Danilo Leiva-León, Matías Pacce |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 730 | Inflation expectations in CESEE are shaped by the sentiment and experiences of individuals | Katharina Allinger, Fabio Rumler |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 722 | High Debt Levels Can Impede Monetary Policy | Luis Brandao-Marques, Marco Casiraghi, Gaston Gelos, Olamide Harrison, Gunes Kamber |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 720 | Forecasting euro area inflation with machine learning models | Michele Lenza, Inés Moutachaker, Joan Paredes |
Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 717 | The role of demand and supply factors during a period of high inflation – the case of Ireland | Thomas Conefrey, Darragh McLaughlin |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 714 | What drives inflation? Disentangling demand and supply factors | Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 712 | The Term Structure of Inflation Forecasts Disagreement and Monetary Policy Transmission | Alessandro Barbera, Dora Xia, Sonya Zhu |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 710 | Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro area | Stefano Neri, Fabio Busetti, Cristina Conflitti, Francesco Corsello, Davide Delle Monache, Alex Tagliabracci |
Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 698 | E-commerce and Price Setting: Evidence from Europe | Georg Strasser, Elisabeth Wieland, Paweł Macias, Aneta Błażejowska, Karol Szafranek, David Wittekopf |
Oct 2023 | Policy Note | No 324 | Money and inflation | Isabel Schnabel |
Sep 2023 | Policy Note | No 322 | Central Banks: Firefighters or Pyromaniacs in Recent Crises? | Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 690 | Gauging price pressures in the euro area with the inflation compass | Nuno Lourenço, João Quelhas, António Rua |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 686 | The long-term effects of inflation on inflation expectations | Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck, Nic Schaub, Michael Weber |
Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 677 | How does changing pricing behavior affect inflation? Evidence from Euro Area microdata | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 663 | The drivers of market-based inflation expectations in the euro area and in the US | Christian Höynck and Luca Rossi |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 653 | Macroprudential Policy and Bank Systemic Risk: Does Inflation Targeting Matter? | Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon, Woon Gyu Choi, Farah Mugrabi |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 652 | Rising energy prices and productivity: short-run pain, long-term gain? | Christophe André, Hélia Costa, Lilas Demmou, Guido Franco |
Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 651 | Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks on real oil prices | Szilard Benk, Max Gillman |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 645 | How to measure inflation volatility. A Note. | Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux, Maria T. Gonzalez-Perez, David E. Guerrero |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 642 | House price expectations and inflation expectations: Evidence from survey data | Vedanta Dhamija, Ricardo Nunes, Roshni Tara |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 639 | Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area | Martin Mandler, Michael Scharnagl |
Jul 2023 | Policy Note | No 314 | Has monetary policy changed for good? A retrospective on recent history and implications going forward | Stefano Neri |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 634 | 2020s vs 1970s: echoes, not a replay | Monica Defend, Vincent Mortier |
Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 626 | Macroprudential policy in the high inflation environment: Sailing uncharted waters | Carsten Detken, Ján Klacso, Reiner Martin |
Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 601 | What are the short-to-medium-term effects of extreme weather on the Croatian economy? | Tihana Škrinjarić |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 598 | Do hawks sit on stronger branches? Central banks’ equity and policy reactions | Marcel Barmeier, André Casalis |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 593 | How often and how much do food prices change during periods of high inflation – an analysis of online prices in Austria | Christian Beer, Robert Ferstl, Bernhard Graf, Fabio Rumler |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 591 | What to expect after “effortless” debt reduction in the euro area? | Matthias Reith |
May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 584 | Euro Area inflation differentials: the role of fiscal policies revisited | Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Nadine Leiner-Killinger, Teresa Schildmann |
May 2023 | Policy Note | No 310 | Monetary and fiscal policies as anchors of trust and stability | Agustín Carstens |
Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 577 | Will a Green Transition lead to Greenflation? | Conny Olovsson, David Vestin |
Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 571 | Has the euro changeover really caused extra inflation in Croatia? | Matteo Falagiarda, Christine Gartner, Ivan Mužić, Andreja Pufnik |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 554 | The impact of the war in Ukraine on energy prices: consequences for firms’ financial performance | Fabrizio Ferriani, Andrea Gazzani |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 550 | Lower for longer under Endogenous Technology Growth | Michaela Elfsbacka Schmöller, Martin Spitzer |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 548 | The Euro Area Great Inflation Surge | Guido Ascari, Paolo Bonomolo, Marco Hoeberichts, Riccardo Trezzi |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 547 | Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach | Carlos Montes-Galdón, Joan Paredes, Elias Wolf |
Mar 2023 | Policy Note | No 304 | Should central banks raise inflation targets? | Ernest Gnan, Robert Holzmann |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 536 | Disruptions in global supply chains drive inflation in the euro area | David Finck, Peter Tillmann |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 533 | When food bites back: What quarterly firm-level data reveal about food inflation | André Casalis |
Feb 2023 | Policy Note | No 298 | European Housing Prices: A Sticky, Gradual Decline | Sylvain Broyer, Marion Amiot, Boris S Glass, Aude Guez |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 514 | Fund Flow Externalities Under the Microscope | Daniel Fricke, Stephan Jank, Hannes Wilke |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 512 | Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices | Barbara Rudolf, Pascal Seiler |
Jan 2023 | Policy Note | No 296 | Finding the right mix: monetary-fiscal interaction at times of high inflation | Isabel Schnabel |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 488 | Can we have a sudden stop for inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 482 | Shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area | Nektarios A. Michail, Konstantinos D. Melas, Lena T. Cleanthous |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 470 | What micro price data teach us about the inflation process: web-scraping in PRISMA | Chiara Osbat |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 455 | Forecasting and Understanding US Inflation with Artificial Intelligence | Philippe Goulet Coulombe |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 445 | Fiscal deficits and inflation risks: the role of fiscal and monetary policy regimes | Ryan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 431 | Consumer Inflation Expectations and Regional Price Changes | Tomasz Łyziak, Michael Pedersen, Ewa Stanisławska |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 289 | Monetary policy in the euro area: the next phase | Philip R. Lane |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 419 | Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 287 | Monetary policy and the Great Volatility | Isabel Schnabel |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 407 | Household inflation expectations react to high euro area inflation | Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner, Maarten van Rooij |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 405 | Forgetting Approaches to Improve Forecasting: Executive Summary | Robert Hill, Paulo Rodrigues |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 396 | The pass-through from inflation perceptions to inflation expectations | Stefanie J. Huber, Daria Minina, Tobias Schmidt |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 393 | Stagflation in the 1970s: lessons for the current situation | Almira Enders, Sebastian Giesen, Dominic Quint |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 391 | Why is Swiss inflation low? | GianLuigi Mandruzzato |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 390 | Dissent in the ECB’s Governing Council Increases Households’ Inflation Uncertainty | Moritz Grebe, Peter Tillmann |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 382 | What Should the Inflation Target Be? Views from 600 Economists | Gene Ambrocio, Andrea Ferrero, Esa Jokivuolle, Kim Ristolainen |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 377 | What lessons can we learn from the heterogeneity in inflation expectations among economic agents? | Camille Cornand, Paul Hubert |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 376 | Climate change and inflation in the euro area | Christiane Nickel |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 374 | When Are “Inflation Expectations” Inflation Expectations? New Evidence From Business Surveys | Brent H. Meyer, Xuguang Simon Sheng |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 370 | Too little too late: ECB’s normalisation path was model- rather than data-driven | Daniel Gros, Farzaneh Shamsfakhr |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 368 | Inflation Expectations and Climate Concern | Christoph Meinerding, Andrea Poinelli, Yves Schüler |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 360 | On the psychology of inflation and its implications | Pascal Blanqué |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 358 | Forecasting Inflation in France: an update of the model used at Banque de France | Youssef Ulgazi, Paul Vertier |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 337 | Does it matter that households disagree about inflation? | Alistair Macaulay |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 323 | Is Super-Active Fiscal Policy Desirable? | Roberto M. Billi, Carl E. Walsh |
Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 274 | Stylised facts on debt and financial crisis | Pedro Duarte Neves |
Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 273 | The return of inflation | Agustín Carstens |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 312 | Household Uncertainty and Inflation | Gene Ambrocio |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 311 | Making Sense of Consumers’ Inflation Expectations | Lovisa Reiche, Aidan Meyler, Christian Gayer |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 308 | Investor demand in syndicated bond issuances: stylised facts | Martin Hillebrand, Marko Mravlak, Peter Schwendner |
Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 270 | Will the supply-driven oil price shock unanchor inflation expectations? | Matthew Luzzetti, Brett Ryan, Justin Weidner, Amy Yang |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 283 | Don’t trust the (inflation) process | Bruce Kasman |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 277 | Money and psychology of inflation: an investor view | Pascal Blanqué |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 271 | Including inflation expectations helps to improve inflation forecasts of econometric models | Marta Bańbura, Danilo Leiva-León, Jan-Oliver Menz |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 264 | Why disinflation can be more costly in a small open economy than in a closed economy | Oleksandr Faryna, Magnus Jonsson, Nadiia Shapovalenko |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 263 | Pitfalls of Inflation Tolerance Ranges | Hervé Le Bihan, Magali Marx, Julien Matheron |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 257 | Why do households save? | Sami Oinonen, Matti Viren |
Jan 2022 | Policy Note | No 263 | Monetary Policy in a World of Radical Uncertainty | Mervyn King |
Dec 2021 | Policy Note | No 259 | Crises as a catalyst for change – lessons from the past, challenges for the future | Jens Weidmann |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 198 | Why did the pass-through from labor cost to price inflation decline in the US? | Elena Bobeica, Matteo Ciccarelli, Isabel Vansteenkiste |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 189 | How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics in Turkey? | Hülya Saygılı |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 174 | Low-for-ultra-long policy will not be enough for Japan | Hiroshi Ugai |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 172 | Central banks as bank supervisors: how does this double role affect their inflation outcomes? | Vasco Gabriel, Ioannis Lazopoulos, Diana Lima |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 148 | The role of information channels and experience for households’ inflation expectations | Christian Conrad, Zeno Enders and Alexander Glas |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 141 | Some warning signals about average inflation targeting | Seppo Honkapohja, Nigel McClung |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 136 | What does “below, but close to, two per cent” mean? Assessing the ECB’s reaction function with real time data | Maritta Paloviita, Markus Haavio, Pirkka Jalasjoki, Juha Kilponen |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 130 | How well are consumers’ inflation expectations anchored to the ECB’s inflation aim? | Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner, Maarten van Rooij |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 121 | How climate protection adds to inflation | Jörg Krämer, Ralph Solveen |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 119 | Six ways to bring inflation (expectations) up | Ernest Gnan |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 111 | A rising core lifts all baskets | Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton, Michael S Hanson |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 109 | Quantifying bias and inaccuracy of upper-level aggregation in Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices for Germany and the euro area | By Thomas Knetsch, Julika Herzberg , Patrick Schwind and Sebastian Weinand |
May 2021 | Policy Note | No 242 | Does the upturn in Eurozone money growth imply 5% inflation? | Tim Congdon |
Jan 2021 | Policy Brief | No 41 | Is inflation dead or hibernating? | Claudio Borio |
Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 211 | Preparing for a higher inflation regime | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 202 | Policy revolution | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 201 | Central banks’ response to the “tragedy on the horizon” | François Villeroy de Galhau |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 199 | Macroeconomic stabilisation when nominal interest rates are constrained: A role for household inflation expectations? | Geoff Kenny, Ioana Duca-Radu, Andreas Reuter |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 197 | The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival | C.A.E. Goodhart, Manoj Pradhan |
Sep 2020 | Policy Brief | No 25 | After Coronavirus: Deflation or Inflation? | C.A.E. Goodhart |
Aug 2020 | Policy Brief | No 23 | Eurozone in times of Covid-19: Debt monetisation by stealth | Peter Vanden Houte |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 170 | International inflation co-movements | Philip R. Lane |
Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 144 | Euro Area Economics: Putting the OOH into HICP | Jacob Nell, Bruna Skarica, Joao Almeida, Markus Guetschow |
Jan 2020 | Policy Note | No 121 | The quest for policy scope: Implications for monetary policy strategies | Klaas Knot |
Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 117 | Euro Area Fiscal Policy: The Factual, the Possible and the Surprising | Daniele Antonucci |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 112 | Inflation In The Eurozone Is Dead. Long Live (The Right Kind Of) Inflation | Sylvain Broyer |
Oct 2019 | Policy Note | No 105 | Dealing with the next downturn: From unconventional monetary policy to unprecedented policy coordination | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Stanley Fischer, Philipp Hildebrand |
Sep 2019 | Policy Note | No 94 | Escaping the Trap: Secular Stagnation, Monetary Policy and Financial Fragility | Martin Wolf |
May 2019 | Policy Note | No 69 | The post-crisis Phillips Curve and its policy implications: cumulative wage gap matters for inflation | Liviu Voinea |
Dec 2016 | Policy Note | No 9 | Two turbulent centuries: Lessons from Austria’s monetary policy, 1816-2016 | Ernest Gnan, Clemens Jobst |
Apr 2016 | Policy Note | No 5 | Some seeming paradoxes or interesting points of Russia’s economy and banking sector | Stephan Barisitz |
Feb 2016 | Policy Note | No 4 | Gender diversity and monetary policy | Donato Masciandaro, Paola Profeta, Davide Romelli |
Sep 2015 | Policy Note | No 1 | What is money and who says so? | Peter R. Fisher |