SUERF Policy Notes and SUERF Policy Briefs
SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs offer accessible and concise, high-quality, authoritative and informed analysis on topical issues related to European money and finance. They make research by SUERF Member institutions and academic researchers available to the SUERF network and beyond. SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs are published weekly on the SUERF webpage. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the institution(s) the author(s) is/are affiliated with.
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| Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 729 | How and why? Monitoring cement production with satellites and neural networks | Alexandre d’Aspremont, Simon Ben Arous, Jean-Charles Bricongne, Benjamin Lietti, Baptiste Meunier |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 725 | Do firms listen when the ECB speaks? The impact of monetary policy shocks on firms’ bank loan expectations | Annalisa Ferrando, Caterina Forti Grazzini |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 713 | The state-dependent impact of changes in bank capital requirements | Jan Hannes Lang, Dominik Menno |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 710 | Energy price shocks and inflation in the euro area | Stefano Neri, Fabio Busetti, Cristina Conflitti, Francesco Corsello, Davide Delle Monache, Alex Tagliabracci |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 706 | Asset Prices, Collateral and Bank Lending - The Case of Covid-19 and Real Estate | Aoife Horan, Barbara Jarmulska, Ellen Ryan |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 704 | Is climate policy risk priced in by European stock investors? | Philippe Loyson, Rianne Luijendijk, Sweder van Wijnbergen |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 698 | E-commerce and Price Setting: Evidence from Europe | Georg Strasser, Elisabeth Wieland, Paweł Macias, Aneta Błażejowska, Karol Szafranek, David Wittekopf |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 690 | Gauging price pressures in the euro area with the inflation compass | Nuno Lourenço, João Quelhas, António Rua |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 685 | How does climate change reshape the corporate sector? Evidence from Italian firms | Michele Cascarano, Filippo Natoli, and Andrea Petrella |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 678 | Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach | Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier, Sebastian Stumpner |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 675 | How producer price changes transmit into final goods prices | Edvin Ahlander, Mikael Carlsson, Mathias Klein |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 671 | An Analysis of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Slovenia and the Euro Area | Jan Radovan |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 661 | Forecasting banknote circulation during the COVID-19 pandemic using structural time series models | Nikolaus Bartzsch, Marco Brandi, Lucas Devigne, Raymond de Pastor, Gianluca Maddaloni, Diana Posada Restrepo, Gabriele Sene |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 650 | Leading indicators of financial stress: a regime switching approach | Tihana Škrinjarić |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 644 | Resource Misallocation and TFP Gap Development in Austria | Richard Sellner, Nico Pintar, Norbert Ernst |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 635 | No time to slack: nowcasting employment in the euro area | Marta Bańbura, Irina Belousova, Katalin Bodnár, Máté Barnabás Tóth |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 624 | CCP initial margin models: A peek under the hood | Ismael Alexander Boudiaf, Martin Scheicher, Francesco Vacirca |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 620 | Insights into Credit Loss Rates: A Global Database | Li Lian Ong, Christian Schmieder, Min Wei |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 610 | Climate change risks and the energy and emission allowances market – An analysis based on EMIR data | Merel Vrolijk, Ellen van der Woerd, Elisabeth de Vogel |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 607 | The use of surveys for monetary and economic policy | Luigi Federico Signorini |
| May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 597 | Boosting the Green Transition: Greenhouse gas emissions and bank lending | Koji Takahashi, Junnosuke Shino |
| Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 551 | Who funds zombie firms: banks or non-banks? | Saara Tuuli |
| Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 521 | Can Machine Learning Methods Help Nowcast GDP? | Andreas Pick, Jasper de Winter |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 485 | Dynamic Macroeconomic Implications of Immigration | Conny Olovsson, Karl Walentin, Andreas Westermark |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 483 | The Links Between Emerging Market Bond Flows, Exchange Rates and Future Financial Conditions | Peter Hördahl, Giorgio Valente |
| Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 425 | What Moves Markets? | Mark Kerssenfischer, Maik Schmeling |
| Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 418 | The Kiel Trade Indicator – A real-time indicator for trade flows | Wolfgang Lechthaler, Vincent Stamer |
| Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 410 | Should we trust the credit decisions provided by machine learning models? | Andrés Alonso, José Manuel Carbó |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Note | No 286 | The optimal quantity of CBDC in the euro area | Lorenzo Burlon, Carlos Montes-Galdón, Manuel A. Muñoz, Frank Smets |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 405 | Forgetting Approaches to Improve Forecasting: Executive Summary | Robert Hill, Paulo Rodrigues |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 399 | The effects of internationally coordinated carbon pricing on the economy and welfare | Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Alexander Mahle, Nikolai Stähler |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Note | No 284 | The design of a data governance system | Siddharth Tiwari, Sharad Sharma, Siddharth Shetty, Frank Packer |
| Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 380 | Old age takes its toll: long-run projections of health-related public expenditure in Luxembourg | Gastón Andrés Giordana, María Noel Pi Alperin |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 357 | What tax data can tell us about consumption and saving patterns | Alain Galli, Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 356 | How much is too much? Assessing the non-linear relationship between debt and sovereign creditworthiness | Sanne Zwart |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 348 | 9 stylized facts on productivity | Andreas Breitenfellner, Robert Holzmann, Richard Sellner, Maria Silgoner, Thomas Zörner |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 339 | Does own wealth and wealth of others matter for life satisfaction? | Antje Jantsch, Julia Le Blanc,Tobias Schmidt |
| May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 334 | The local presence of global banks | Iñaki Aldasoro, John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen |
| Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 318 | How do carbon prices spillover along global production networks? | Ivan Frankovic |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 303 | Rising rent burdens following distorting investment incentives – The effects of rent controls in Germany | Vera Baye, Valeriya Dinger |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 299 | When domestic and foreign QE overlap | Paola Di Casola, Pär Stockhammar |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 298 | Covid-19 government subsidies and their implications for pandemic labour productivity | Tommaso Bighelli, Tibor Lalinsky, Juuso Vanhala |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 297 | Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action plan | Aviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 295 | How do Asian central banks use big data? Insights from an Irving Fisher Committee survey | Giulio Cornelli, Sebastian Doerr, Leonardo Gambacorta, Bruno Tissot |
| Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 274 | Regulating big tech in the public interest | Agustín Carstens |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 260 | Credit Constrained Firms and Government Subsidies: Evidence from a European Union Program | Tirupam Goel, Péter Lang, Eszter Balogh, Ádám Banai, Martin Stancsics, Előd Takáts, Álmos Telegdy |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 257 | Why do households save? | Sami Oinonen, Matti Viren |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 250 | Big techs in finance: a new trade-off between efficiency and privacy | Frederic Boissay, Torsten Ehlers, Leonardo Gambacorta, Hyun Song Shin |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 245 | How to set Cyclical and Structural capital buffers via Stress tests? A Risk-to-Buffer approach | Cyril Couaillier, Valerio Scalone |
| Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 235 | Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies | Maria Sole Pagliari |
| Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 234 | Optimism is bad for fiscal outcomes | Martin Larch, Janis Malzubris, Matthias Busse |
| Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 205 | Mind the promotional gap! Climate-related financial policies and institutional dynamics | Moritz Baer, Emanuele Campiglio, Jérôme Deyris |
| Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 200 | The highly heterogeneous impact of the Covid-19 crisis on French firms | Benjamin Bureau, Anne Duquerroy, Julien Giorgi, Mathias Lé, Suzanne Scott, Frédéric Vinas |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 181 | A liquidity risk early warning indicator for Italian banks: a machine learning approach | Maria Ludovica Drudi, Stefano Nobili |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 179 | The relevance of trade policy: Evidence from the 19th century | Jacopo Timini |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 172 | Central banks as bank supervisors: how does this double role affect their inflation outcomes? | Vasco Gabriel, Ioannis Lazopoulos, Diana Lima |
| Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 152 | Patchy data is a good start: from Kuznets and Clark to supervisors and climate | Frank Elderson |
| Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 145 | It’s in the Tails: The Distributional Income Effects of Monetary Policy | Niklas Amberg, Thomas Jansson, Mathias Klein and Anna Rogantini Picco |
| Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 124 | Global Financial Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the Global Business Cycle? | Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 108 | Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations? | Alexander Jung, Patrick Kuehl |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 104 | The Economic Case for Global Vaccinations: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks | Cem Çakmaklı, Selva Demiralp, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Sevcan Yeşiltaş, Muhammed A. Yıldırım |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Note | No 244 | External Vulnerabilities and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Emerging Markets | Abdullah Kazdal, Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 102 | Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic models | Olivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 99 | Stress-testing CESEE borrowers in the light of the COVID-19 pandemic | Aleksandra Riedl |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 98 | Detecting turning point in the Danish economy in real time – nowcasting in Danmarks Nationalbank during the covid-19 crisis | Jesper Pedersen |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 97 | Stress-Testing Net Trading Income: The Case of European Banks | Carla Giglio, Frances Shaw, Nicolas Syrichas and Giuseppe Cappelletti |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 84 | Data sharing for better policy making | Claudia Buch |
| Apr 2021 | Policy Brief | No 67 | How do central banks use big data and machine learning? | Sebastian Doerr, Leonardo Gambacorta, Jose Maria Serena |
| Apr 2021 | Policy Brief | No 62 | The way forward for EU-wide stress tests | Pedro Duarte Neves |
| Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 56 | On the Origin of Systemic Risk | Mattia Montagna, Giovanni Covi, Gabriele Torri |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 50 | The rise of digital watchers | Till Ebner, Thomas Nellen, Jörn Tenhofen |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 49 | Should developed economies manage international capital flows? An empirical and welfare analysis | Dennis Bonam, Gavin Goy, Emmanuel de Veirman |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Note | No 221 | The future of data collection & data management: Agile RegOps for digitalizing the regulatory value chain | Martina Drvar, Johannes Turner, Maciej Piechocki, Eric Stiegeler, Daniel Münch |
| Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 43 | Nowcasting world GDP growth with high-frequency data | Caroline Jardet, Baptiste Meunier |
| Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 210 | On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default prediction | Andres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo |
| Oct 2020 | Policy Brief | No 31 | Monitoring economic activity in times of Covid-19: moving up to higher frequency | Barbara Castelletti, Marie Delorme, Pavel Diev, Yannick Kalantzis, Antoine Lalliard, Matteo Mogliani |
| Jul 2020 | Policy Note | No 185 | The Macroeconomic Impact of NPLs in Euro Area Countries | Ivan Huljak, Reiner Martin, Diego Moccero, Cosimo Pancaro |
| Feb 2020 | Policy Note | No 135 | Cost-Efficiency and Productivity of euro area banks | Ivan Huljak, Reiner Martin, Diego Moccero |
| Feb 2020 | Policy Note | No 130 | European Banking Consolidation: Can a view to the past inform current policy efforts? | Peter Hahn |
| Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
| Apr 2019 | Policy Note | No 68 | How to assess the adequacy of capital requirements based on internal models? | Susanne Roehrig |
| Dec 2018 | Policy Note | No 49 | Bank business models: time to act | Rudi Vander Vennet |
| Jul 2017 | Policy Note | No 14 | Banks or platforms: The digital future | Patricia Jackson |
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