SUERF Policy Notes and SUERF Policy Briefs
SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs offer accessible and concise, high-quality, authoritative and informed analysis on topical issues related to European money and finance. They make research by SUERF Member institutions and academic researchers available to the SUERF network and beyond. SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs are published weekly on the SUERF webpage. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the institution(s) the author(s) is/are affiliated with.
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| Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 736 | Banks’ credit forecasts excel at rank ordering but miss the evolution of losses | Martin Birn, Renzo Corrias, Christian Schmieder, Nikola Tarashev |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 734 | Macroprudential stance assessment: problems of measurement and literature review | Tihana Škrinjarić |
| Nov 2023 | Policy Brief | No 719 | Should credit lines be regulated? | Jose E. Gutierrez |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Note | No 323 | What An Acceleration of Quantitative Tightening Could Mean For Eurozone Banks | Nicolas Charnay, Pierre Hollegien, Sylvain Broyer, Aude Guez |
| Oct 2023 | Policy Brief | No 695 | Including Carbon Taxation Risk in Deutsche Bundesbank’s In-house Credit Assessment System (ICAS): An Empirical Analysis | Justus Grundmann, Laura Auria |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 687 | Fear The Walking Dead? Zombie Firms in the Euro Area and Their Effect on Healthy Firms’ Credit Conditions | Lea Katharina Havemeister, Kristian Horn |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 683 | Can monetary policy ignore financial stability risks? | Sulkhan Chavleishvili, Manfred Kremer, Frederik Lund-Thomsen |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Brief | No 680 | US Monetary Policy Spillovers To Emerging Markets: The Role of Trade Credit | Mélina London, Maéva Silvestrini |
| Sep 2023 | Policy Note | No 319 | Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy | Pedro Duarte Neves |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Brief | No 669 | Could Green Growth Be An Oxymoron? | Paul Gruenwald |
| Aug 2023 | Policy Note | No 317 | The European Commission Proposals for Reform of the Stability and Growth Pact: On the right track but not there yet | Jakob de Haan, Fabian Amtenbrink |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 641 | Exploring the informational role of inflated credit ratings | Anna Bayona, Oana Peia, Razvan Vlahu |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 640 | Solving the enforcement dilemma of the EU fiscal rules | Paul Dermine, Martin Larch |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 639 | Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area | Martin Mandler, Michael Scharnagl |
| Jul 2023 | Policy Brief | No 632 | When Do Credit Booms Become Troublesome? | Eddie Gerba, Danilo Leiva-León, Johannes Poeschl |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 623 | Are firms credit constrained? Answers from a Swedish credit registry | Niklas Amberg, Tor Jacobson, Vincenzo Quadrini, Anna Rogantini Picco |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 620 | Insights into Credit Loss Rates: A Global Database | Li Lian Ong, Christian Schmieder, Min Wei |
| Jun 2023 | Policy Brief | No 617 | On the effectiveness of dividend restrictions as supervisory policy tool | Ernest Dautović, Leonardo Gambacorta, Alessio Reghezza |
| May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 590 | Is digitalisation the gamechanger it promised to be for firms’ productivity growth? | Robert Anderton, Vasco Botelho, Paul Reimers |
| May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 589 | The environmental goods and services sector is the keystone of net zero: Let’s subsidize it! | Eric Jondeau, Grégory Levieuge, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Gauthier Vermandel |
| May 2023 | Policy Brief | No 587 | CBDC Policies in Open Economies | Michael Kumhof, Marco Pinchetti, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Andrej Sokol |
| Apr 2023 | Policy Brief | No 567 | Catching the green-tech train: technology and climate change mitigation | Claire Alestra, Gilbert Cette, Valérie Chouard, Rémy Lecat |
| Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 555 | Technology and Asset Liquidations: Evidence from Real Estate Collateral | Francesco Mazzola |
| Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 551 | Who funds zombie firms: banks or non-banks? | Saara Tuuli |
| Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 546 | Bank lending to small firms: metamorphosis of a financing model | Paolo Finaldi Russo, Valentina Nigro, Sabrina Pastorelli |
| Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 513 | Gender diversity in bank boardrooms helps to combat climate change | Leonardo Gambacorta, Livia Pancotto, Alessio Reghezza, Martina Spaggiari |
| Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 509 | EU fiscal rules 2.0, more carrot than stick plus greenwashing? | Matthias Reith, Gunter Deuber |
| Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 502 | Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks’ Joint Probability of Default on the Financial Cycle | Paul Bochmann, Paul Hiebert, Yves Schüler, Miguel Segoviano |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Note | No 294 | A modern credit guidance regime for the green transition | Katie Kedward, Daniela Gabor, Josh Ryan-Collins |
| Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 497 | European Small Business Finance Outlook: SMEs in between crises | Helmut Kraemer-Eis, Antonia Botsari, Salome Gvetadze, Frank Lang, Wouter Torfs |
| Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 476 | Finance in Africa 2022: Navigating the financial landscape in turbulent times | Colin Bermingham, Barbara Marchitto, Debora Revoltella |
| Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 473 | The Impact of Natural Disasters on Banks’ Impairment Flow – Evidence from Germany | Iliriana Shala, Benno Schumacher |
| Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 462 | Disclosure of climate change risks in credit ratings | Miriam Breitenstein, Stefania Ciummo, Florian Walch |
| Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 454 | Augmented credit-to-GDP gap as a more reliable indicator for macroprudential policy decision-making | Tihana Škrinjarić |
| Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 434 | Growth Expectations and the Dynamics of Entry | Enisse Kharroubi |
| Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 422 | Job polarisation decreases the access to credit in Europe | Michele Cantarella, Ilja Kristian Kavonius |
| Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 410 | Should we trust the credit decisions provided by machine learning models? | Andrés Alonso, José Manuel Carbó |
| Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 392 | Consumption-led expansions lead to lower growth | Matti Viren |
| Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 387 | Climate Change-Related Regulatory Risks and Bank Lending | Isabella Mueller, Eleonora Sfrappini |
| Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 378 | Estimating Growth-at-Risk: Insights from a Structural Nonlinear Model | Matthias Rottner |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 355 | Japan’s Sovereign Rating in the Post-Pandemic Era: Quo Vadis? | Jinho Choi, Alexander den Ruijter, Kimi Xu Jiang, Edmund Moshammer |
| Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 344 | Elections Hinder Firms’ Access to Credit | Florian Léon, Laurent Weill |
| Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 274 | Stylised facts on debt and financial crisis | Pedro Duarte Neves |
| Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 309 | The low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit risk | Sante Carbone, Margherita Giuzio, Sujit Kapadia, Johannes Sebastian Krämer, Ken Nyholm, Katia Vozian |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 305 | Is There Financial Exclusion when Official Lenders Are Considered? | María Bru Muñoz |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 272 | Financing Faster Growth For Europe’s SMEs | Sylvain Broyer, Sarah Limbach, Cihan Duran |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 297 | Central banks’ in-house credit assessment systems – supporting the Eurosystem’s response to the pandemic and its climate change action plan | Aviram Levy, Florian Resch, Anna Maria Rossi, Stephan Sauer |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 286 | Private and Public Debt: Some Implications on Economic Growth | Patrizio Morganti |
| Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 267 | Towards a single operational indicator in the SGP – A look at the properties of the current expenditure benchmark | Nicholai Benalal, Maximilian Freier, Wim Melyn, Stefan Van Parys, Lukas Reiss |
| Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 268 | Monetary policy and the green transition | Lena Boneva, Gianluigi Ferrucci, Francesco Paolo Mongelli |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 262 | Choosing the European fiscal rule | Ginters Bušs, Patrick Grüning, Oļegs Tkačevs |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 261 | Firm financing and public liquidity measures during the pandemic | Ida Rommedahl Julin, Andreas Kuchler, Alexander Meldgaard Otte |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 260 | Credit Constrained Firms and Government Subsidies: Evidence from a European Union Program | Tirupam Goel, Péter Lang, Eszter Balogh, Ádám Banai, Martin Stancsics, Előd Takáts, Álmos Telegdy |
| Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 257 | Why do households save? | Sami Oinonen, Matti Viren |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 252 | Determinants of the credit cycle: a flow analysis of the extensive margin | Vincenzo Cuciniello, Nicola di Iasio |
| Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 244 | Switching-track after the Great Recession | Francesca Vinci, Omar Licandro |
| Nov 2021 | Policy Brief | No 214 | How do Loan-to-Value Caps Impact Bank Lending and Credit Spillover? | Selva Bahar Baziki, Tanju Çapacıoğlu |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 180 | Sovereign CDS Volatility as an Indicator of Economic Uncertainty | Maximilian Böck, Martin Feldkircher, Burkhard Raunig |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 178 | Contagious Zombies | Christian Bittner, Falko Fecht, Co-Pierre Georg |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Note | No 253 | Raising r*: Why, how, and if not now, when? | Robert Holzmann, Maria T. Valderrama |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 174 | Low-for-ultra-long policy will not be enough for Japan | Hiroshi Ugai |
| Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 171 | Curb your enthusiasm: the aggregate short-run effects of a borrower-based measure | Joana Passinhas, Daniel Abreu |
| Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 126 | Intergenerational macroeconomics | Gabriel Makhlouf |
| Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 102 | Assessing the impact of Basel III: Evidence from macroeconomic models | Olivier de Bandt, Bora Durdu, Hibiki Ichiue, Yasin Mimir, Jolan Mohimont, Kalin Nikolov, Sigrid Röhrs, Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, Valerio Scalone, Michael Straughan |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 96 | Real interest rates and demographic developments: the role of population growth and migration | Lucas Fuhrer, Nils Herger |
| May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 91 | Low Interest Rates and the Distribution of Household Debt | Marina Emiris, François Koulischer |
| May 2021 | Policy Note | No 239 | How to prevent a too restrictive fiscal policy in Europe? | Wim Boonstra |
| Apr 2021 | Policy Note | No 232 | The Macroeconomics of Covid-19 Leverage | Théophile Jégard, Simon Ray |
| Apr 2021 | Policy Brief | No 75 | Europe: the shock of Covid-19 and the fear of accelerated zombification | Hélène Baudchon, Louis Boisset, Guillaume Derrien, Kenza Charef |
| Apr 2021 | Policy Note | No 231 | The challenges to the banking sector a year after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic | Pablo Hernández de Cos |
| Mar 2021 | Policy Note | No 227 | Scarring in Europe | Reza Moghadam, Markus Guetschow, Camille White |
| Mar 2021 | Policy Brief | No 54 | Are lower bank capital requirements an efficient policy tool for supporting credit to SMEs? | Michel Dietsch, Henri Fraisse, Mathias Lé, Sandrine Lecarpentier |
| Jan 2021 | Policy Note | No 218 | Interest rate-growth differentials on government debt: an empirical investigation for the euro area | Cristina Checherita-Westphal and João Domingues Semeano |
| Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 210 | On the risk-adjusted performance of machine learning models in credit default prediction | Andres Alonso, Jose Manuel Carbo |
| Jun 2020 | Policy Note | No 176 | Credit Guarantees in the COVID-19 crisis – Relevance and Economic Impact | Julien Brault, Simone Signore |
| Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 141 | Reforms, Reversals and the Road Ahead: Lessons from Three Decades of Transition in Central and Eastern Europe | Beata Javorcik |
| Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 139 | Capital Regulations and the Management of Credit Commitments during Crisis Times | Paul Pelzl, María Teresa Valderrama |
| Jan 2020 | Policy Note | No 122 | TCFD: strengthening the foundations of sustainable finance | Mark Carney |
| Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 111 | Reforming the Stability and Growth Pact: Striving for sustainability while offering room for manoeuvre | Karsten Wendorff |
| Oct 2019 | Policy Note | No 107 | Tackling non-performing loans in Europe | Peter Grasmann, Markus Aspegren, Nicolas Willems |
| Sep 2019 | Policy Note | No 93 | European Economic and Monetary Union: from the Past into the Future | Jean-Claude Trichet |
| Aug 2019 | Policy Note | No 89 | Central banks still run money creation | Daniel Daianu |
| May 2019 | Policy Note | No 70 | The impact of Brexit on growth and the public finances | Iain Begg |
| Feb 2019 | Policy Note | No 58 | Disintermediation and re-intermediation effects of the CSPP | Óscar Arce, Ricardo Gimeno, Sergio Mayordomo |
| Jan 2019 | Policy Note | No 51 | Africa needs investments beyond its pockets of growth | Olivier de Boysson, Clément Gillet |
| Mar 2018 | Policy Note | No 28 | Credit conditions and corporate investment in Europe | Laurent Maurin, Rozalia Pal, Philipp-Bastian Brutscher |
| Nov 2017 | Policy Note | No 21 | Risk sharing in EMU: key insights from a literature review | Demosthenes Ioannou, David Schäfer |
| Nov 2017 | Policy Note | No 20 | Recent developments in Chinese shadow banking | Michael Chui, Christian Upper |
| Feb 2016 | Policy Note | No 4 | Gender diversity and monetary policy | Donato Masciandaro, Paola Profeta, Davide Romelli |
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