Date published | SUERF | Issue | Title | Author(s) |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 550 | Lower for longer under Endogenous Technology Growth | Michaela Elfsbacka Schmöller, Martin Spitzer |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 548 | The Euro Area Great Inflation Surge | Guido Ascari, Paolo Bonomolo, Marco Hoeberichts, Riccardo Trezzi |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 547 | Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach | Carlos Montes-Galdón, Joan Paredes, Elias Wolf |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 544 | Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China | Alexander Al-Haschimi, Apostolos Apostolou, Andres Azqueta-Gavaldon, Martino Ricci |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 543 | How shocks to Chinese supply chains affect US and euro area manufacturing | Makram Khalil, Marc-Daniel Weber |
Mar 2023 | Policy Note | No 304 | Should central banks raise inflation targets? | Ernest Gnan, Robert Holzmann |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 537 | Navigating the housing channel of monetary policy across euro area regions | Niccolò Battistini, Matteo Falagiarda, Angelina Hackmann, Moreno Roma |
Mar 2023 | Policy Brief | No 536 | Disruptions in global supply chains drive inflation in the euro area | David Finck, Peter Tillmann |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 530 | Deep contractions cause economic scars that never heal | David Aikman, Mathias Drehmann, Mikael Juselius, Xiaochuan Xing |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 524 | Highly Dispersed inflation rates challenge the ECB’s monetary policy strategy | Thomas Url |
Feb 2023 | Policy Brief | No 521 | Can Machine Learning Methods Help Nowcast GDP? | Andreas Pick, Jasper de Winter |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 512 | Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices | Barbara Rudolf, Pascal Seiler |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 504 | Introduction of the composite indicator of cyclical systemic risk in Croatia: possibilities and limitations | Tihana Škrinjarić |
Jan 2023 | Policy Note | No 296 | Finding the right mix: monetary-fiscal interaction at times of high inflation | Isabel Schnabel |
Jan 2023 | Policy Brief | No 498 | Get your bearings: guidelines for newspaper based economic indicators | Erik Andres-Escayola, Corinna Ghirelli, Luis Molina, Javier Perez, Elena Vidal |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 491 | Risk sharing and monetary policy transmission | Sebastian Hauptmeier, Fédéric Holm-Hadulla, Théodore Renault |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 484 | Monetary and macroprudential policy effectiveness and spillovers | Luc Laeven, Angela Maddaloni, Caterina Mendicino |
Dec 2022 | Policy Brief | No 482 | Shipping freight rates and inflation in the Euro Area | Nektarios A. Michail, Konstantinos D. Melas, Lena T. Cleanthous |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 479 | Strategic behaviours and the policy response to commodity price shocks | Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Maria Sole Pagliari |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 470 | What micro price data teach us about the inflation process: web-scraping in PRISMA | Chiara Osbat |
Nov 2022 | Policy Brief | No 468 | The reform of the EU fiscal framework: an enhanced surveillance role for independent fiscal councils? | Christos Chrysanthakopoulos, Athanasios Tagkalakis |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 454 | Augmented credit-to-GDP gap as a more reliable indicator for macroprudential policy decision-making | Tihana Škrinjarić |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 452 | Are governments inflating their economic forecasts ahead of elections? | Davide Cipullo, André Reslow |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 445 | Fiscal deficits and inflation risks: the role of fiscal and monetary policy regimes | Ryan Banerjee, Valerie Boctor, Aaron Mehrotra, Fabrizio Zampolli |
Oct 2022 | Policy Brief | No 434 | Growth Expectations and the Dynamics of Entry | Enisse Kharroubi |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 431 | Consumer Inflation Expectations and Regional Price Changes | Tomasz Łyziak, Michael Pedersen, Ewa Stanisławska |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 289 | Monetary policy in the euro area: the next phase | Philip R. Lane |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 419 | Was globalization just a little thing in the process of inflation? | Juhana Hukkinen, Matti Viren |
Sep 2022 | Policy Note | No 287 | Monetary policy and the Great Volatility | Isabel Schnabel |
Sep 2022 | Policy Brief | No 411 | Subjective Expectations and Uncertainty | Andrzej Kocięcki, Tomasz Łyziak, Ewa Stanisławska |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 403 | What Can We Learn from 60 Years of PCE Inflation Data? | Raphael Schoenle, Dominic Smith |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 399 | The effects of internationally coordinated carbon pricing on the economy and welfare | Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Alexander Mahle, Nikolai Stähler |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 397 | Unbalanced macroeconomic risks over the business cycle | Martin Iseringhausen, Ivan Petrella, Konstantinos Theodoridis |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 393 | Stagflation in the 1970s: lessons for the current situation | Almira Enders, Sebastian Giesen, Dominic Quint |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 392 | Consumption-led expansions lead to lower growth | Matti Viren |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 391 | Why is Swiss inflation low? | GianLuigi Mandruzzato |
Aug 2022 | Policy Brief | No 390 | Dissent in the ECB’s Governing Council Increases Households’ Inflation Uncertainty | Moritz Grebe, Peter Tillmann |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 382 | What Should the Inflation Target Be? Views from 600 Economists | Gene Ambrocio, Andrea Ferrero, Esa Jokivuolle, Kim Ristolainen |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 376 | Climate change and inflation in the euro area | Christiane Nickel |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 370 | Too little too late: ECB’s normalisation path was model- rather than data-driven | Daniel Gros, Farzaneh Shamsfakhr |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 368 | Inflation Expectations and Climate Concern | Christoph Meinerding, Andrea Poinelli, Yves Schüler |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 366 | Firm-level expectations and macroeconomic conditions: underpinnings and disagreement | Monique Reid, Pierre Siklos |
Jul 2022 | Policy Brief | No 365 | Subjective inflation expectations of households and firms | Michael Weber |
Jun 2022 | Policy Brief | No 359 | Scarring effects of major economic downturns: The role of fiscal policy and government investment | Martin Larch, Peter Claeys, Wouter van der Wielen |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 337 | Does it matter that households disagree about inflation? | Alistair Macaulay |
May 2022 | Policy Brief | No 335 | Macroeconomic Implications and Differences of Oil and Gas Price Shocks | Thomas Zörner, Nico Petz |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 323 | Is Super-Active Fiscal Policy Desirable? | Roberto M. Billi, Carl E. Walsh |
Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 274 | Stylised facts on debt and financial crisis | Pedro Duarte Neves |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 319 | Time for a circular business cycle clock | Nuno Lourenço, António Rua |
Apr 2022 | Policy Brief | No 316 | Robert Triffin and the search for Asian Monetary Union | Ivo Maes, Ilaria Pasotti |
Apr 2022 | Policy Note | No 273 | The return of inflation | Agustín Carstens |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 307 | On the Welfare Effects of Using Energy and Emissions Taxes to Finance a Labour Tax Reduction in a Multi-sector DSGE Model | Natascha Hinterlang, Anika Martin, Oke Röhe, Nikolai Stähler, Johannes Strobel |
Mar 2022 | Policy Note | No 270 | Will the supply-driven oil price shock unanchor inflation expectations? | Matthew Luzzetti, Brett Ryan, Justin Weidner, Amy Yang |
Mar 2022 | Policy Brief | No 285 | Why the impact of the health crisis in 2020 was uneven across the euro area economies? | Ángel Luis Gómez, Ana del Río |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 272 | Global models for a global pandemic: the impact of COVID-19 on small euro area economies | Pablo Garcia, Pascal Jacquinot, Črt Lenarčič, Matija Lozej, Kostas Mavromatis |
Feb 2022 | Policy Brief | No 271 | Including inflation expectations helps to improve inflation forecasts of econometric models | Marta Bańbura, Danilo Leiva-León, Jan-Oliver Menz |
Jan 2022 | Policy Brief | No 262 | Choosing the European fiscal rule | Ginters Bušs, Patrick Grüning, Oļegs Tkačevs |
Dec 2021 | Policy Brief | No 243 | The Macroeconomic Impact of Euro Area Labor Market Reforms | Gerhard Rünstler |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 208 | Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic Policy | Francesco D’Acunto, Daniel Hoang, Maritta Paloviita, Michael Weber |
Oct 2021 | Policy Brief | No 192 | Optimal Robust Monetary Policy with Parameters and Output Gap Uncertainty | Adriana Grasso, Guido Traficante |
Sep 2021 | Policy Brief | No 189 | How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics in Turkey? | Hülya Saygılı |
Sep 2021 | Policy Note | No 254 | Fiscal-Monetary Crosswinds in the Euro Area | Lucrezia Reichlin, Giovanni Ricco, Matthieu Tarbé |
Sep 2021 | Policy Note | No 252 | Forging the Future of Monetary Union – taking stock and looking forward | Markus Rodlauer, Rolf Strauch |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 162 | The Natural Interest Rate in China | SUN Guofeng, Daniel M Rees |
Aug 2021 | Policy Brief | No 143 | The dynamics of macroeconomic downside risk | By Davide Delle Monache, Andrea De Polis and Ivan Petrella |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 141 | Some warning signals about average inflation targeting | Seppo Honkapohja, Nigel McClung |
Jul 2021 | Policy Brief | No 136 | What does “below, but close to, two per cent” mean? Assessing the ECB’s reaction function with real time data | Maritta Paloviita, Markus Haavio, Pirkka Jalasjoki, Juha Kilponen |
Jun 2021 | Policy Brief | No 105 | Monetary policy space and monetary policy strategies for the euro area | Markus Haavio, Olli-Matti Laine |
Jun 2021 | Policy Note | No 244 | External Vulnerabilities and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Emerging Markets | Abdullah Kazdal, Muhammed Hasan Yılmaz |
May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 98 | Detecting turning point in the Danish economy in real time – nowcasting in Danmarks Nationalbank during the covid-19 crisis | Jesper Pedersen |
May 2021 | Policy Brief | No 86 | The Bewildering Effects of COVID-19 and Other Recessions on Forecast Accuracy Measurements | Boriss Siliverstovs |
Apr 2021 | Policy Note | No 232 | The Macroeconomics of Covid-19 Leverage | Théophile Jégard, Simon Ray |
Feb 2021 | Policy Brief | No 43 | Nowcasting world GDP growth with high-frequency data | Caroline Jardet, Baptiste Meunier |
Dec 2020 | Policy Note | No 211 | Preparing for a higher inflation regime | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand |
Nov 2020 | Policy Note | No 207 | Surge in corporate insolvencies hitting German banks | Jan Schildbach |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 199 | Macroeconomic stabilisation when nominal interest rates are constrained: A role for household inflation expectations? | Geoff Kenny, Ioana Duca-Radu, Andreas Reuter |
Oct 2020 | Policy Note | No 197 | The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival | C.A.E. Goodhart, Manoj Pradhan |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 170 | International inflation co-movements | Philip R. Lane |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 164 | Can we compare the COVID-19 and 2008 crises? | Marc-Olivier Strauss-Kahn |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 162 | How large is the coronavirus macro shock? Putting the near-term record-breaking shock in the long-term context | Elga Bartsch, Jean Boivin, Philipp Hildebrand |
May 2020 | Policy Note | No 161 | Shh, don’t say it! ECB Helicopter Money: Economics and Politics | Donato Masciandaro |
Mar 2020 | Policy Note | No 142 | Are Standard Macro and Credit Policies Enough to Deal with the Economic Fallout from a Global Pandemic? A Proposal for a Negative SME Tax | Thomas Drechsel, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan |
Jan 2020 | Policy Note | No 121 | The quest for policy scope: Implications for monetary policy strategies | Klaas Knot |
Dec 2019 | Policy Note | No 119 | Central bank independence and inflation | Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 117 | Euro Area Fiscal Policy: The Factual, the Possible and the Surprising | Daniele Antonucci |
Nov 2019 | Policy Note | No 112 | Inflation In The Eurozone Is Dead. Long Live (The Right Kind Of) Inflation | Sylvain Broyer |
May 2019 | Policy Note | No 71 | Rethinking the Trade-offs for Monetary Policy in an Era of Globalization | Enrique Martínez-García |
May 2019 | Policy Note | No 69 | The post-crisis Phillips Curve and its policy implications: cumulative wage gap matters for inflation | Liviu Voinea |
Mar 2019 | Policy Note | No 59 | New Frontiers in the Euro Debate in Iceland | Thorsteinn Thorgeirsson |
Jan 2019 | Policy Note | No 53 | The output cost of the global financial crisis: A reappraisal after ten years | David Turner, Patrice Ollivaud |
May 2018 | Policy Note | No 33 | Populism and Central Bank Independence | Donato Masciandaro, Francesco Passarelli |
Dec 2016 | Policy Note | No 9 | Two turbulent centuries: Lessons from Austria’s monetary policy, 1816-2016 | Ernest Gnan, Clemens Jobst |
Apr 2016 | Policy Note | No 5 | Some seeming paradoxes or interesting points of Russia’s economy and banking sector | Stephan Barisitz |
Feb 2016 | Policy Note | No 4 | Gender diversity and monetary policy | Donato Masciandaro, Paola Profeta, Davide Romelli |
Sep 2015 | Policy Note | No 1 | What is money and who says so? | Peter R. Fisher |